NBA Ramblings: Why Robert Horry Deserves To Be In The Hall Of Fame

February 12th, 2010

Why Robert Horry Should Be In The Hall Of Fame

Is Robert Horry as good as Hakeem? Jordan? Magic? Bird? The answer is a resounding no. Does that mean he doesn’t deserve to be in the Naismith Hall Of Fame? No. There are a number of people and players in the Hall Of Fame that are nowhere near the talent level of players like Chamberlain, Russell, West or Baylor, but each person in the Hall Of Fame have done something special during their basketball careers.

Talent is a key to getting into the Hall Of Fame, but it is not the only thing one needs. While players like Jordan, Magic and Bird have played at a level that is head and shoulders above many of their peers, they do not themselves define what one must do to enter the Hall Of Fame. Zigmund J. “Red” Mihalik, for example, is an official, or as the Hall Of Fame refers to the title “referee”. He has never even so much as officiated a single NBA game. He worked primarily in the NCAA (six NCAA finals), and the Olympics. As far as the NBA goes, Mihalik has accomplished nothing. As for NCAA standards, there are officials he have worked more games. Mirko Novosel likewise is a name not many NBA fans will know, and his work in coaching never even so much as won Yugoslavia a single gold metal, but he had a special career because he did something special within his own context. Cathy Rush likewise has done seemingly little to earn a spot in the Hall Of Fame. She hasn’t coached any teams to NCAA finals, hasn’t set any records, but she has helped to expand women’s basketball in several ways and was involved in a gold medal winning Olympic team. None of these players have created a buzz for the game the way Julius Irving has, or Michael Jordan, or Kobe Bryant or LeBron James, but they each have worked within their respective roles and achieved what others have not.

Robert Horry like; Mihalik, Novosel and Rush, had a role. Like Novosel, who lost the last game he coached at every Olympics, Horry has seen others outperform him. He’s lost starting positions, was disappointed when his contract was not renewed with the Lakers, and was almost traded by the Rockets the season he won his first NBA title. As a result, his role was as a substitute, a bench player, a role player. And he has achieved things in that role that no other player in that role has achieved. Horry was rarely a starter in his career, and was never a first option, but he has accepted his role and excelled at it. There are other role players who have won titles, James Posey for example has provided defence and three point scoring for the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics. Bruce Bowen did much the same for the Spurs. Steve Kerr and John Paxon likewise have provided three point shooting (both for the Bulls), and James Edwards provided some rebounding, interior defence and post scoring for the Detroit Pistons. Horry likewise has been a role player throughout much of his career. Though he started for Houston during their two championship runs, he has come off the bench for most of his career. For Houston, Horry came up with huge defensive plays, three point daggers and some rebounding, for the Lakers Horry has dropped game winning shots in key games against teams like the Spurs and Kings while giving some help on the boards, and for the Spurs Horry helped send the Pistons home with a game winning shot that helped Duncan and the Spurs win their fourth title. The game winning shots, the defence and rebounding has helped Robert Horry win seven NBA titles, more than any player of his generation. More titles than Jordan, and Pippen, more than Kobe and Shaq and Duncan.

Some argue that one needs to have exceptional talent, to be an All-Star. That Horry should not have his name next to players like Chamberlain and Jordan. But the Hall Of Fame is already filled with players who have not had the impact on the game that Jordan and Chamberlain had. Drazen Petrovic for example, played only four seasons before his career was tragically cut short. He had two seasons where he scored 20+ points a game, but was known across the league for being a poor defender and was only once was a part of a team that made a run for the title and it was a team that performed as well without him as they did with him (Portland was back in the NBA finals two years after Petrovic left). Robert Wazner has meek stats because he played in the pre-shot-clock era, and has only one title to his name, but few doubt his right to be in the NBA Hall Of Fame, though he is certainly no Jordan, or Magic or even Stockton for that matter. David Thompson, while having an impressive collegiate career, had a relatively quiet NBA career. His career scoring averages are meek, and he was never even a part of a title contending team. His collegiate career though was a special one and for that his place in the Hall Of Fame has never been questioned. Horry likewise excelled as a role player to the tune of seven championships, more than any player who wasn’t a part of the Boston/Russell dynasty. Players like Petrovic, Thompson and Wazner played nowhere near the level of players like; Jordan, Chamberlain, Magic, Robertson or Russell, but each have had a special career that sets them apart from others, just as Horry has excelled at his role and has in turn accomplished things that nobody else in his type of position has ever accomplished.

There are those who feel that there are other players who are more deserving of a spot in the Hall Of Fame who will likely have trouble getting a position in the Hall Of Fame. Players like: Vince Carter, Tracey McGrady, Carmelo Anthony, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Derron Williams, Chris Paul, Jerry Stackhouse, and Gilbert Arenas. But if you take these players, and players like George Gervin and Dominique Wilkens, players who were leading scorers in the league, like Wade, Kevin Durant and Charlie Scott, Dan Issel, Adrian Dauntley and Alex English and combine all their NBA titles, they still don’t have as many championships between them as Horry has by himself. Some of these players are still active and may yet win titles, but what Horry has done is something special. Being the winningest player of his generation is something special, something that sets him apart from everybody else he ever stepped on the court with.
There are those who will say that Horry should not be remembered along with the stars of his generation, that he is not as good. But Hakeem may have never even won a title without Horry. Shaq and Kobe may not have won a title together had Horry not been on their team and the Spurs may have succumb to the Detroit Pistons had Horry not been able to provide the clutch shooting that helped the Spurs put the Pistons away in the NBA finals. While many NBA greats, like Nash, Duncan, Magic and Bird, have been accredited with making the players around them better, Horry has done something few role-players have done: he’s made his supser-star teammates better. He has helped to bring NBA titles to players like Hakeem, Bryant, O’Neal and Duncan. It is true that each of these players would have likely won titles without Horry, but it is certainly clear none of them would have won as many as they did without him, and for that, for his countless game winning shots, for his seven NBA titles, and for being the winningest player of his generation, Robert Horry deserves to be remembered alongside of the superstar players that he has helped to turn into champions, and I’m sure each of his Hall-Of-Fame teammates would welcome him into the Hall with them.

NBA Ramblings: Top Ten Power Forwards

November 4th, 2009

Top Ten Power Forwards

This past off-season has seen a lot of talented power forwards take pay cuts and reduced roles to play of title contenders, meaning that some very talented players (like Rasheed Wallace, Antonio McDysse and Drew Gooden) get meeker numbers. Taking this into consideration some talented players may appear a little lower on the list than players who put up better numbers or play more integral roles in their team’s success. And for those looking for Amare Stoudemire and Tim Duncan on this list, please note these two talented players have been included in my center’s list.

Honourable Mentions:

Zach Randolph

Randolph is still a capable 20/10 player, but he will be taking on a reduced roll on his new Memphis team, which will dilute his numbers and overall impact, and he still hasn’t developed much of a passing game and needs plays to be run for him to make an impact on offence, though he is efficient when he gets the ball.

Michael Beasley

The Heat are confident enough in Beasley to start him, he’s put on some muscle and hopefully has gotten his personal issues resolved. Beasley is the player most likely to make me look like a fool for not including him in the top ten. He had a respectable field-goal and three point percentage last season, which is pretty good for a rookie, and with starting minutes he has the potential to become a 20/10 player, but I don’t think he’s quite ready to take on a staring role in this league just yet, if he does though, the Heat will be able to make some noise if he does.

Udonis Haslem

Haslem is a consistent double-double player, and coming off the bench to play center and power forward will help the Heat, though is may reduce his numbers. He is clearly a hard worker, and a team player who reminds me much of Horace Grant.

Kenyon Martin

Martin remains a hard worker on the boards and on defence, and his passion is obvious, but sometimes uncontrollable, and his offence has never fulfilled the promise that showed up in New Jersey and made him so appealing to the Nuggets when they signed him away from the Nets.

Dishonourable Mention:

Rashard Lewis

I have a problem putting a power forward in the top ten that can’t get more than 6 rebounds a game, especially one that uses drug to enhance his performance, so while Orlando Magic fans may huff and haw that Lewis deserves a spot in the top ten, I’m content leaving him out.

10. Al Jefferson

I’ve been hot and cold about how I feel about Jefferson. He blocks his fair share of shots, gets close to a dozen boards a game and posts up 20+ points of game, but he’s not developed his passing skills and his conditioning has always been a question (265 pounds seems a bit hefty). But when he’s on the court he works hard (his high rebounding numbers are a testament to that), and he is consistent on offence. He isn’t the type of player who can be the cornerstone to a franchise, but he is the type of guy that would be great alongside a Bryant or Wade.

9. LaMarcus Aldridge

Aldridge has signed a nice extension, and though he doesn’t have a the carrot of a big contract hanging in front of him at season’s end like Lee, Bosh and Boozer, but he is still one of the most promising young power forwards in the league. He is not as strong a rebounder as Boozer, Millsap or West, but he is a consistent rebound who pulls in 8+ boards a game and has a good offensive game with a high field goal percentage, and he is one of the key gears in a talented young Portland team that looks to be placing themselves in contention for years to come. But without high assist numbers and higher rebounding numbers, it is hard to put Aldridge much higher on this list despite his potential.

8. Carlos Boozer/Paul Millsap

I’m not sure what to do about this situation. I think Boozer is the best rebounder on this list, and as good offensively as many of the players, but because of Boozer’s offseason comments and trade demands, and Millsap’s contract, it is clear that though Boozer is one of the best power forwards in the league, and though Millsap is one of the best young talents in the league, the Jazz are not going to pay two guy 10+ million each and let one of them pick the pine. These guys will be splitting minutes as the Jazz want other teams to see that Boozer can still play to increase his trade value, and Millsap won’t get as many minutes as a result. Both will be scoring in the mid to high teens and grabbing around 7 or 8 boards a game, and the Jazz will have the best power forward rotation in the league, but both players will have their impact reduced due to the other. I think Boozer is the better player, but his passion for Utah has obviously dissipated, and he would be near the top of this list if he were playing on a team that depended on him for 36+ minutes a game, as would Millsap, but both will see their minutes, stats and overall impact reduced until the Jazz get their power forward situation cleared up.

7. Jeff Green

This will be Green’s third season in the league, and judging from the improvements he made in his sophomore season, he may be putting up close to 20/10 numbers this season, but I believe its more likely that he will be scoring in the high teens and grabbing 7 or 8 rebounds a game. Green is coming along nicely, and though I don’t expect him to be the best power forward, he will be a solid power forward in the league for years to come, and he has the potential to be an All-Star if he continues to improve his game as he has. He is the best rebounder on the Thunder right now and his team will need him to become not only better, but dominant in that respect if they are going to compete in the west. His shooting percentages improved over his rookie year last season, and his personal fouls and turnovers remained about where they were despite getting nearly ten more minutes a game, and his offensive repertoire is coming along nicely. Green will be a bright spot for Thunder fans, but he’s still got some room between where he is, and where players like Gasol and Garnett are playing, but he’s good enough now to compete with those guys.

6. David Lee

Like Boozer and Bosh, Lee is in a contract year, and coupled with that, he is also the most consistent player on his team. He is a solid double-double player, and for a Knick team that has limited options and has chosen to put Harrington on the bench and no Eddy Curry in the current line-up, the Knicks have few options in the front court. David Lee will likely put up better numbers than Garnett, but that doesn’t mean he’s a better player, or that he has a bigger impact on his team. He will be the best player on his team, but his team will be one that is struggling to stay in the playoff hunt. Still, Lee will likely be a 20-10 player and is one of the hardest working players in the league and make a bad team more competitive than it would have been without him. His field-goal percentage has been traditionally high (60% one year and usually in the high 50’s), and even though his assist-to-turnovers ratio is not so impressive, he does hand out more assists than turnovers and he is a team-first player.

5. David West

Perhaps Millsap is better, and it could certainly be argued that Boozer is better, and it could be said that Rashard Lewis and Zach Randolph are better, but West has several things going for him that some of these other players don’t. He is a better rebounder than Lewis and will likely be more consistent than Boozer (whose trade demands and off court comments, coupled with Millsap’s emergence will dilute his role in the Jerry Sloan’s rotation), and he has will be playing a bigger role on offence than Randolph and Lewis. The Hornets are in cost cutting mode and will rely on the tools they already have in place to win, and Chris Paul’s best offensive option seems to be West. He’s been putting up close to 20/10 numbers the last couple of seasons with no signs of slowing, has a respectable field-goal percentage (high 40’s) and is a solid free-throw shooter who hands out 2+ assists a game with about a 1-1 assists-to-turnover ration, which is as good or better than most front court players. Considering his stats, its hard not to put West in the top five.

4. Kevin Garnett

Most of the guys on this list will post higher numbers than Garnett, but that doesn’t mean that Garnett isn’t still a premiere power forward in the league. Garnett is on a deep team and trusts his teammates, allowing other plays to take the spotlight on offence while he works hard setting a defensive tone and cleaning up the boards, and providing consistent shooting when his teams needs too, giving the Celtics a diverse offence that will be hard to slow down when the playoffs roll around. He may only get around 15 points and 7 or 8 boards a game this season, but his impact will be more profound that his stats suggest. He is slowing down as he gets deeper into his 30’s, but his passion and work ethic have not been diluted in the least, and with team-first minded all-stars like Allen and Pierce, and one of the best young point guards in the league, the Celtics are in title contention again this season, and Garnett’s leadership is a huge reason for that.

3. Dirk Nowittki

I think Dirk’s best days are past him, but he still has enough talent that he’s still near the top of the list. Dirk has the most diverse offence among all power forwards; has great range that is made all the more effective by his height as his seven foot frame creates some space between him and most other power forwards who usually stand between 6’7 and 6’10. Those extra 2-5 inches makes defending Dirk on the perimeter even harder and creates as many problems when Dirk is around the basket, using his smooth foot work, ball handling and soft hands to create openings for himself. The biggest knock on Dirk is that he is not as dominant a rebounder as he should be given that he is seven feet tall, but his field-goal percentage is in the high 40’s, which is pretty good for a guy who makes his living on the perimeter. He does get his share of rebounds at nearly ten a game and has usually handed out 3+ assists a game throughout his career. I’m not sure that Dirk is good enough to put the Mavs back in the finals, but if he ever had a guy like Bryant or James on his side, then he’d be a sure shot for another finals appearance.

2. Chris Bosh

It’s a contract year and Bosh knows it. Past criticisms, like those that claim Bosh is too thin, have lit a fire under Bosh and he has put on some muscle this offseason. He’s been working the boards harder than ever and has made additions to offensive repertoire. He may not have as high a field-goal percentage as some, and he’s not as smooth a passer as Gasol, but he carries the offensive weight of his team and is the focal point of opposing defences, making his workload harder than most other power forwards in the league, and working for a new contract often leads to career seasons. Bosh will put up the best numbers of his career.

1. Pao Gasol

I know some may suggest that having won a title this past season may have inflated Gasol’s value, but I think back-to-back finals appearances are a strong indication of what Gasol brings to the court. On offence Gasol is perhaps the most versatile power forward in the league outside of Dirk. He’s got smooth moves around the basket, great foot work, and he has range as can step outside and hit shots consistently from twenty feet out. Coupled with that he has soft hands around the basket. On the boards he’s a consistent double-digit rebounder who works hard to get the ball, and for critics who insist that European players are soft and don’t have as much muscle, Gasol rebounding numbers indicate that he is an exception to that rule while illustrating that a high basketball I.Q. counts for as much as muscle, just ask Dwight Howard whose shoulder-drop-spin move was highlighted as the offensive foul it is by Gasol in the ‘09 NBA finals, Gasol made sure officials saw the contact and limited both Howard’s offensive effectiveness and minutes (due to foul trouble), giving his team a huge edge that didn’t show up in the stat columns. He shoots 56% from the floor, hands out almost 4 assists a game with one of the best assist-to-turnovers ratio for his position, rebounds, scores and defends as good as about anybody at his position. And his range especially opens up the floor for his teammates, like Duncan, Gasol’s ability to shoot from outside and pass creates issues for opposing defences, which makes Bryant more effective and creates openings for players like Odom, Ariza and Brown, and his interior passing is especially impressive, most especially in regards to Odom, with whom Gasol has great chemistry.

NBA Ramblings: Top Ten Shooting Guards Of The 2010 Season

October 14th, 2009

Top Ten Shooting Guards

Honourable Mention (In No Particular Order)

Kevin Martin

Big fish in a little pond? Likely, but he’s still a solid shooter and consistent scorer, even if his all around game pales next to the likes of Brandon Roy and Joe Johnson. And guards who get more turnovers than assists should not be in the top ten, even if they are great shooters (and by great shooter, I mean great three-point shooter, he’s only 45% from the floor on his career, respectable, but not note worthy).

Vince Carter/Tracey McGrady

Both of these guys have been slowed by injury, and trade demands, but both remain talented and are athletes that have the skills to break off phenomenal seasons. The Rockets will be depending on McGrady when he comes back from injury, while the Magic will be hoping that Carter plays like his former all-star self to make them a true contender.

Monta Ellis

To small to play shooting guard (gives up too much on defence), but he does work hard on the boards (over 4 a game), though his assists (3.8 a game) are diluted by his turnovers (2.7 a game). At his height, offensive plans are limited for his team, and without true ball-handling skills, he limits himself even further.

Randy Foye

Foye is a great combo guard, can pass the rock, score, hit his free-throws, but he needs to increase his field-goal percentages if he hopes to get minutes in Washington.

J.R. Smith

If he finally gets himself a starting job, Smith could make me look like a fool for putting Gordon on the list above him. He’s a solid rebound, passer and scorer and can shot the three.

10. Ben Gordon

The Pistons have the best shooting guard rotation in the league with Hamilton and Gordon. Gordon does give up some height, but he’s a great three-point shooter, he’s over 80% from the free-throw line and a respectable 45% from the floor. And for a short guy his 3+ rebounds aren’t so bad. He also gets 3+ assists a game, but his turnovers are a bit high and he isn’t so great running the plays with the ball in his hand (unless he’s looking for his own shot), which is bad considering at his height he should be playing point guard. Even if he’s coming off the bench though, Gordon will put up numbers that will keep him on pace with some of the best shooting guards in the league.

9. Michael Redd

Like a couple other elite players, Redd’s season was slowed by injury last year, but the season prior saw Redd have some big games and finish among the league leaders in triple-doubles (even though his assist and rebounding numbers were a little meeker than some of the other triple-double leaders that season). Redd is one of the more complete shooting guards in the league, he can shoot, create off the dribble, drive, defend, pass and rebound. The only knock on Redd is the fact that though he is a consistent scorer, he is inconsistent in other aspects of his games. One night he will get a triple-double, the next will see him get only a couple rebounds or a meagre assist or two, and though he saves his big games for his big match-ups (he’s gotten a couple of triple-doubles against LeBron), I’m sure Bucks fans would like to see those stellar all-around efforts on a more nightly basis.

8. Richard Hamilton

Hamilton reminds me very much of Reggie Miller in that he’s excellent at coming off screens, and though he isn’t good at creating offence with the ball in his hand all the time, he does fairly well on his own. He works the boards well for a guy who is so lean (a respectable 3+ a game), and hands out 4+ assists a game while usually keeping it under 2 turnovers a game. His defence is solid, and he has, like Ray Allen, a strong sense of team play (though he and Allen Iverson seemed to have trouble with deciding who should be starting at shooting guard). Coupled with that, Hamilton offers consistency more than perhaps any other shooting guard in the league. While Kobe and Wade have high scoring nights, followed by more humble numbers, and Allen has been known to hit cold streaks (most notably at the beginning of the ‘08 playoffs), Hamilton is the picture of consistency, dropping in between 16-20 seemingly every night. He may be fighting for minutes with Ben Gordon this season, but Hamilton will still be the best option the Pistons have at shooting guard, and with Billups, Iverson, McDysse and Wallace all gone, he will likely be their first scoring option.

7. Manu Ginobili

Last season Ginobili was slowed by slowed by injuries, but coming into this season healthy, I expect him to put up solid numbers (though his numbers aren’t always a good indication of the total impact Ginolbili has on the game). Hamilton and Carter and a couple others may put up better numbers than Ginobili because he has to share scoring duties with; Duncan, Parker, Jefferson, Finley and Mason, but Ginobili’s impact will still be of the utmost importance for the Spurs, his defence, work on the glass and passing are all important for the Spurs, as is his ability to hit the long range jumper and create space for himself and teammates off the dribble.

6. Andre Iguodala

Iguodala isn’t as great a shooter as some of the other guys on this list (his free-throw and three-point percentages are decent, but not outstanding), but he does create well off the dribble, is a great one-on-one player in isolation plays, knows how to kick the ball out when he’s double teamed or covered (to the tune of over 5 assists a game), and his percentage from the floor is 47%, which is much higher than some perimeter players and certainly puts him near the top at his position. With a good mid-range jumper, and the work ethic to crash the boards (over 5 boards a game), Iguodala is a consistent, solid, all-around player that any GM would love to add to their roster.

5. Ray Allen

Ray Allen may deserve to be as high as third on this list, but he is certainly a top-five shooting guard, even as he enters the twilight of his career. Last season saw Allen hit 95% from the charity stripe, over 40% from behind the arc and almost 50% from the floor, illustrating why Allen is the best pure shooter in the league. He moves well without the ball, knows how to use a screen and get open, and spreads opposing defences out, which is a huge help to his teammates. His rebounding and assists are a little lower than some on this list, but since he doesn’t handle the ball as much as others on the list, so it is understandable that he doesn’t get as many assists (he has to draw defences away from the ball to open the floor up for Rondo and Pierce), and though his defence isn’t as effective as Bryant’s, he still works hard on defence. Allen knows the role he needs to play for his team to do well and he does what is needed. The Celtics already have two ball handlers in Peirce and Rondo, and he knows plays are run for Garnett in the post to draw defences away from the perimeter, so he only usually gets the ball when defences break down, so his all-around stats suffer a little, but his team benefits greatly from this sacrifice and if you doubt Allen’s over all impact, just ask Bryant how effective Allen is, he saw Allen put up his best numbers of he ‘08 post season under Bryant’s stifling defence.

4. Joe Johnson

Joe Johnson has the typical stats of an all-star shooting guard, 20+ points a game, and around 5+ boards and 5+ assists a game, and while his shooting percentage is a humble 43% (a little less than Roy and Wade), he has a diverse offensive game that allows him to create shots off the dribble, off the screen, and on the drive, and he looks to his teammates to get the win. Like Roy, and all great shooting guards, Johnson (though capable of scoring 25+ a game), knows that deferring to teammates is key to winning, which is why the Hawks were able to move past the Heat last season in the playoffs. This year the Hawks will have even more talent to work with (Crawford and Joe Smith have joined the team), which will make the Hawks even better and give Johnson even more exposure, and considering it is a contract year for Johnson, I expect him to make a case for a max contract.

3. Brandon Roy

Roy may have been the best clutch shooter last season. Every time I watched a sports highlights Roy was making last second shots, forcing overtimes and getting wins, and though some were circus shots, most were buckets drilled by and premiere marksman who elevates his game when the pressure is on. And though Roy is a young guy, trying to earn his chops and still building his rep, and though he is the go-to guy on Portland, he still seems to know when to defer, which is a quality rarely seen in a player so young. Roy gets 5+ assists a game and a 2.5-1 assists-to-steals ratio, which Wade still hasn’t been able to accomplish. He shot 48% from the field, and 37% from behind the arc and was over 80% from the charity stripe. His defence is solid and he even grabs almost 5 boards a game to. It may seem, at the start of this season, that Wade and Bryant are clearly a level above Roy, just as James and Pierce are a level above all other small forwards, but I think by the end of the season it will be clear that Roy very much deserves to be mentioned in the same breath as Wade and Bryant and may even make as case to be better than Wade.

2. Dwayne Wade

Wade was last season’s scoring champ, a top candidate for MVP, and improved his game on almost every level. He had his lowest turnovers-per-minute average of his career, his highest points-per-minute average, his highest assist average (which most players who are scoring 30+ a game rarely do), pulled in 5 boards a game and played solid defence while shooting nearly 50% from the floor (much better than Kobe). He even got more steals and more blocks per game than Kobe, and if this list was decided by stats alone, Wade would actually finish above Kobe. But Wade was kind of a big fish in a small pond, played on a poor team that got destroyed in the first round and Wade’s defence, though solid, is not as outstanding as Bryant’s defence. The Heat should be a little better this season, but until Wade gets to participate in a deep playoff run, he will be second to Kobe among shooting guards.

1. Kobe Bryant

His defence, his offence, his intensity, his will to win, his all-around game. Just as there it little doubt as to who the best small forward in the game is, there is also little doubt as to who the best shooting guard is. He grabs 5 boards a game, hands out 5 assists, scores 25+ points, is as good as any defender at his position, and is likely not only the best shooting guard this year, but also of his generation. That said, Kobe is not perfect. His field-goal percentage is not as good as some and the alpha male in him still has a hard time deferring to teammates. When Jordan played for the Bulls, they needed Jordan to score 30+ a game to stay in the game. With the Lakers, who have weapons like the newly added Ron Artest, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum and other decent scorers (like last season’s top role player Trevor Ariza), the Lakers have a well balances offence (not unlike the Celtics who rely on Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett to all score around 20 a game while letting Rondo Raja handle the ball), and therefore the Lakers do not need Kobe to score 25+ a game. In fact, if Kobe deferred to teammates that way Paul Pierce has the last couple of seasons, and the way Duncan and Nash have throughout their careers, the Lakers would be even better, but Kobe’s ego still seems to demand that he get 25+ a game, even though there are three or four 20+ point scorers on the team. Don’t get me wrong, he’s still the best in the league, and Jordan had just as much of an ego. It gives him an edge and can help his team, but history suggests that players who can defer (like Magic, Russell, and Duncan) win more rings than the guys who have to score 25+ a game (Chamberlain, Bird and Kobe). Jordon of course is the exception. If Kobe wants to string together a second dynasty, he will have to make sure that opponents have as much cause to worry about the other offensive players on the Lakers as they do Kobe.

NBA Ramblings: Top Ten Small Forwards For The 2009/2010 Season

October 9th, 2009

Top Ten Small Forwards

In gauging the top ten small forwards, this list takes into consideration the impact and value to the team, personal performance and stats, and talent. Some talented players are on deeper teams and have smaller roles (Ron Artest, Lamar Odom, Richard Jefferson and Shawn Marion) and in turn have meek stats, while others who are equally talented, or perhaps a little less so, have bigger roles on weaker teams (Al Harrington, Danny Granger), so it is hard to compare similar players who play different roles for different teams. So the teams success, personal stats and talent are all taken into consideration.

Honourable Mention

Tayshawn Prince/Shane Battier

Two of the best defenders in the league; ’nuff said.
Stephen Jackson

Jackson’s talent is clear, as are his potentially beneficial leadership skills, but he is unhappy (understandably) with Goldenstate’s direction and has put himself in the dog house by demanding a trade. I don’t expect him to make a very big impact this season considering Goldenstate’s inability to trade him (what with his sizable contract and all), coupled with his unwillingness to work with this team, but things could turnaround.

Caron Butler

Its not that I don’t think he is as good as some of the guys on this list, he is, he will just be sharing minutes with Mike Miller so his role will be diminished, though his talent will not be. Washington is deeper on the perimeter and has their top scorer back, so Butler, being the team player he is, will see his numbers dip in order to help the team.

Lamar Odom

He plays both forward spots, and he plays his best when he and Pau Gasol are sharing power forward and center duties at the same time, but his diverse skill set and height gives him many advantages at small forward, and even if his numbers seem meek, his impact is huge. With Ron Artest on the team, his minutes may be further reduced, but his talent will still help the Lakers win games.

Ron Artest

The best defender at his position? Maybe, but I think he is a little overrated in this respect, though still very much among the league’s elite. Like Butler and Odom he will be taking a reduced role to help his team win and so may not put up the numbers that his peers do, but if this list was purely on talent and not also about over-all impact (the MVP factor) and numbers, Artest and Odom would both be in the top ten for sure.

Richard Jefferson

Jefferson is a talented all-around player and knows how to win (he’s been to the finals twice with the Nets), and with his new team, The Spurs, I expect he will bring a lot to the team, and even if his number are meeker than in seasons past, he will help to create some match-up issues for opposing teams.

Jason Richardson

Richardson is a talented scorer and though he doesn’t have the complete game that some on this list have, he has mastered the parts of the games he’s good at, and even when he’s on the losing team, his high energy level and ability to break away to the basket provide entertainment to all in attendance.

Josh Howard/Shawn Marion

I’m not sure how these two talented small forwards are going to work out the minutes, but Drew Gooden will be eating up all the reserve minutes at power forward so it looks like one of these guys is going to have to learn to play shooting guard if either of them want more than 24 minutes a game. Both these guys are great players, Howard’s a great scorer and solid all-around player, and Marion an elite defender, rebounder and all around player. Outside of Boston and Cleveland, the Mavs may have the best small forward rotation in the league (though that doesn’t make up for their lack of a center).

John Salmons, Al Thorton and Thad Young also get a nod from me as solid contributors for their respective teams.

10. Al Harrington

Harrington has long been an NBA prospect it seems. Indiana chased after him twice, Atlanta signed him as a young free agent, and the Warriors pick him up expecting him to be an improvement on Mike Dunleavy Jr. (which I think he is). But Harrington has had trouble getting his minutes. In Indiana the Pacers were still trying to get their footing in the post-melee era, and in Goldenstate he saw more time on the bench than he had expected when Don Nelson (I know, I’m shaking my head too) went with a small line (that could have easily included Harrington) and benched the talented young forward. New York though has Harrington a new lease on life and when he first arrived in New York he indeed managed to put up numbers the surpassed most on this list, though he couldn’t keep those averages up all season. Harrington is a natural scorer, who works the glass and keeps up on defence. The only knock on Harrington is that he’s never had a particularly high field-goal percentage (though he has maintained a respectable one), and he has never been much of a play maker. He doesn’t create a lot of turnovers, but nor does he create a lot of assists, and the former outnumber the later, which is never good. I expect Harrington to have another solid year with the Knicks and once they sort out their roster after free agency in the 2010 offseason I expect that Harrington will end up being a key role player and secondary scoring option, but as of right now, he is the most consistent player the Knicks have and outside of David Lee.

9. Rudy Gay

I’m having a hard time placing Gay for a number of reasons, most of all the Iverson/Randolph factor. The past couple of seasons Gay has been the best scorer on a team that didn’t have a lot of scorers, and though he remains their best option at small forward and will certainly be starting there, it is unclear where he will fit on the offensive pecking order. Randolph will certainly call for the ball in the post and Iverson, even if he is coming off the bench, will want the ball in his hands, and Mike Conley and O.J. Mayo have both displayed the ability to handle the ball and score. Talent alone should dictate that Gay will still be the first option of offence, but Mayo and Randolph are deserving of as many touches, and Iverson and Conley will likely be handling the ball a lot while rookie Hasheem Thabeet, and least year’s rookie sensation Marc Gasol will also be earning their own shots. This is a deep squad and Gay’s position is unclear, but he remains a great athlete, he has a long lean body that creates match-up problems and he works the glass and on defence, so its hard to imagine him not being the go-to guy on this squad. Either way he is one of the top young small forwards and deserving of a spot in the top ten.

8. Josh Smith

Josh Smith is one of those unique players, athletic, muscular, hard working and great all around player, and by all around I mean he knows how to drop numbers into each statistical category. Like Gerald Wallce, he works the glass, gets some steals, gets some blocks, scores some points and hands out more assists than he does turnovers, and his field-goal percentage has gone up ever year since his sophomore effort (up to almost 50% last season). The only whole in his game seems to be long range shooting (which is an excusable default at his position) and at the free-throw line where he has actually gotten worse over the years (58% last year, after shooting over 70% the year before- I’m scratching my head too). The only knock on Smith is that he’s not a power forward, which is the position he plays much of the time. His height and work ethic allow him to keep up with most power forwards, but when you watch his game it is clear that he is a small forward by nature. He’s a great defender on the perimeter, and he is athletic and quick, but the Hawks, who have been short a true power forward the last couple of seasons, have been forced to play Smith at power forward a lot. With the addition of Joe Smith, and the emergence of two solid rebounding centers in Zaza and Al Horford, I imagine Josh Smith will get to play more minutes at his natural position, and I expect the Hawks to make a run at the division title with their newly acquired depth.

7. Hedo Turkoglu

Easily one of the most underrated players in the league, while the Cavs ran into the offseason looking for somebody to match up with Dwight Howard for the 2010 post season, the Raptors went and did the Cavs a huge favour, they picked up one of the most important pieces of Orlando’s success last season. While Howard is a dominant player, the Cavs front court made him work for every bucket and every board, but Turkoglu took advantage of his unique skill set and height advantage to give the Magic the upper hand over the Cavs. Turkoglu is not as great a shooter as many imagine him to be (only 41% last year), but he is a great three point shooter and he is a solid rebounder from his position (5+ a game), but the most important aspect of Turkoglu’s game is his ability to pass. He, like Paul Pierce and LBJ (and Scottie Pippen in years gone by), can play the point forward position. He can bring the ball up the court and set up plays, create for himself off the dribble and allow an undersized shooting guard (guys like Ben Gordon, Eddie House and Monta Ellis to name a few) to come in and spell the point guard without causing his team to give up anything in terms of playmaking, and when Jameer Nelson went down with injury, Turkoglu’s ball handling skills are what carried the Magic through the regular season. He is not a dominant offensive or defensive player, but he is solid at both and his unique skill set creates options for his coach, while his height advantage creates interesting miss-matches that also allows his coaches to exploit opposing team’s short comings. He may not put up the numbers that some others do, but he has as big an impact as many of the most talented small forwards in the league.

6. Gerald Wallace

Wallace is the best rebounders on this list, as well as one of the best athletes and best all-around players. He’s even got an edge on LBJ in a couple statistical categories (rebounding and steals). He works the glass, he busts his ass off on defence, he shoots around 48% from the floor and 80% from the charity stripe, he hands out more assists than he does turnovers and gets almost as many steals as he does turnovers and the only real knock is that he isn’t an elite scorer and could afford to lower his personal fouls (though he is not in the red in this respect by any means). Even when new coach Larry Brown seemed uninterested in Wallace and put him on the trading block, he still busted his ass off and eventually gained (or at least seemed to) the respect of Larry Brown (which isn’t easy to do if you ask any of his former players). He gets steals, some blocks, he passes, rebounds and scorers, and has a team first mentality. If he were on a team like the Spurs he’d be even more dangerous, but as it is he is playing for the Bobcats, and while fans may not get to watch him in the post season, they can still certainly watch this very talented player in the regular season.

5. Carmelo Anthony

I’m sure there are going to be some pissed of Denver fans who think Carmelo should be a little higher on the list (if anybody from Denver ever happens to my blog), but Danny Granger, though a later bloomer when compared next to Carmelo, is still a better player right now. Carmelo has been very fortunate to have been surrounded by a lot of talent for most of his career, but it is clear that despite having a solid front court around him (Nene, Camby, Martin and Andersen have all be working the boards for Denver in the past), and though he has always had a couple other scoring options, he has never been able to lead Denver into serious title contention. That did not happen until Billups came to town, so Anthony just doesn’t have that intangible leadership quality that separates the elite players in the league (and Anthony is an elite player). That said, Anthony is a great scorer, a great athlete, a solid defender and a great rebounder, and for all those reasons he simply cannot be left off of this list.

4. Danny Granger

Granger’s rebounds actually dipped a little bit last season, but he was called upon to play small-forward almost exclusively, so that is understandable. That said, his assists did go up and personal fouls came down slightly while his scoring soared along with his leadership skills. Last season Granger saw the Pacer’s organization lean on him and he responded in turn. His defensive stats were solid (over a block and a steal a game), his scoring jumped up to 25+ a game (second only to LBJ at his position), and the Pacers actually saw an improvement in their team. That is not to say Granger has perfected his game, he’s got to bring down his personal fouls, as well as his turnover to be the perfect compliment to his team, and he may have to relinquish some of the scoring duties and defer (like Paul Pierce has done) if the Pacers are to gain any ground on other Eastern conference teams, but Granger has provided the kind of responsible leadership that the Pacers have been in constant search of in the post-melee era and Granger is the type of guy that will lead by example to help improve his team. I expect the Pacers to make the playoffs this year and even make some noise (a first-round series win is not out of reach for this team), and I expect Granger to be at the center of this team’s success.

3. Kevin Durant

In the 07/08 season, despite easily winning the Rookie of the Year honours, Durant showed many of the classic problems that plague rookies. High turnovers (3 a game), low field-goal percentage (43%) and low three-point percentage (28%), though he did manage to keep his personal fouls below 2 a game. In his sophomore season there was dramatic improvement. His rebounding and assist numbers jumped up, and his field-goal percentage (up to 47%) and his three-point percentage (42%) both saw increases and his team got better. Durant is playing for a weaker team in a competitive western conference, and though his team got off to a rough start last year, they played competitive ball the second half of the season and did not provide simple and easy fodder for the league’s elite. I don’t imagine this year that they will be able to break into the elite, or even the playoffs for that matter, but they have a talented young team and Durant is that team’s leader. The only thing he really needs to improve is his turnover rate, and he could afford to be more of a defensive presence (not that he‘s bad in this regard, just not outstanding yet).

2. Paul Pierce

There are a number of small forwards who put up more points, or more steals, or more boards than Pierce, but Pierce remains an elite defender, even if his defensive stats don’t rank amongst the league leaders (just look at how he handled LBJ and Kobe Bryant in the ‘08 playoffs). Pierce is a solid play maker and gives his team a ball-handling option when the point guard is on the bench, and he is also a team-first player who took a back seat as a scoring option (despite the fact he’s easily a 25+ point scorer), to help the team perform better. There are some younger guys (like Granger) who are coming up and will give Pierce a run for his money, but his experience, ball handling skills and defence (and his ring) place him just a shade under James and a level above the rest of the players at his position.

1. LeBron James

While some may argue that James is not the clear cut best all-around player in the league, there is no doubt; James is certainly the best small-forward and an easy choice for number one on this list. LeBron James is the top scorer among small forward, the top assist maker, and the best rebounder at small forward outside of Gerald Wallace (who played some minutes at power forward for the Bobcats who were short a decent power forward). And Wallace is the only small forward to get more steals that James. As for blocks, AK-47 and Danny Granger were the only small forwards to log more blocks per game than James. Not to mention he is the reigning MVP, he’s great on defence, always takes the best scorer on the perimeter, and he is arguably the best offensive player at his position, and not only can he always get his shot, but he is clutch as well. He proved that last year by making some big shots in the Orlando series, and the season when the Cavs made it to the NBA finals for the first time, James reeled of 20+ straight point at the end of the fourth quarter and into an overtime against the Pistons. There is no reason that I can think of to have James anywhere other than number one on this list.

NBA Ramblings: FAIL Of The Decade

October 1st, 2009

What is worse than being rejected after a marriage proposal? How about being reject for said proposal in front of 30 000 people, and then have Tracy McGrady laugh at you while the Rocket’s Team mascot tries to consol you with a beer as the commentator- who actually hoped you would get rejected while you were proposing- start to make fun of you, saying “how do you like that”, guessing that the rejectee will get over it in 10 or 12 years, while noting how epic the FAIL is as they have never seen such a FAIL in 45 years of combined broadcasting and the jokingly comment that the NBA is where amazing happens.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Esr_okP5Qmo&feature=channel

NBA Ramblings: Fail Of The Week

October 1st, 2009

NBA Ramblings: Fail Of The Week

After demanding a trade several weeks ago, and then (justifiably in my view) criticising the Golden State Warriors front office for poor decisions, a reporter apparently asked Stephen Jackson about the lucrative contract those same “unpredictable” front office types offered the talented shooting guard, to which Jackson responded: “Well, who’s going to turn down that money? I’m not stupid. I mean, I didn’t go to college but I’ve got a lot of common sense.” Jackson though, actually did go to college. It was only one semester at Butler County Community College. Apparently he forgot about that.

Not to all residents of Butler County, if you want your kids to have a memorable college experience, you will likely need to go outside of your own county (based on Stephen Jackson’s account).

NBA Ramblings: Top Ten Points Guards For The 2009/2010 Season

September 11th, 2009

Top Ten Point Guards for the 2009/2010 Season

Last year was a break-through years for several point guards. Mo Williams and Jameer Nelson both got their first All-Star births, Devon Harris was in the running for Most Improved Player, Derrick Rose and Rajon Rondo both stepped up big in the playoffs and Steve Nash and Jason Kidd were both awarded big contract in the offseason. So which point guards are going to make an impact this season? Here is my list of who I think are going to be the top point guards this season.

Honourable Mention:

Steve Nash and Jason Kidd

Last season I had both Steve Nash and Jason Kidd in my top ten, and though I think they still have some tank in the gas and will make an impact this season, I don’t think they will be two of the ten best point guards, even if they both rank in the top ten in assists (which I imagine they will since they both got big pay-days with their respective teams and will be getting lots of minutes). These guys are still two of the best playmakers, but they won’t be getting the numbers they have in the past and their rebounding and scoring numbers have dipped as well, diluting their overall impact.

Jameer Nelson and Mo Williams

Both these guys had career years with contenders last year, and even though they both broke into the All-Star game last season, I still think the others on this list will bring more to their respective teams. The Magic relied on Turkaglu and Howard last year, and the Cavs rode on the back of LBJ. These guys are not the Scottie Pippens and James Worthies of their generation. They are good, even great, but not that great.

Devon Harris

Big fish in a little pond? Perhaps, but he got the ball and minutes in Dallas too, and that was a deep team. Harris will put up great numbers this year, but it will be on a team that doesn’t compete.

Raymond Felton and Russell Westbrook

Both these guys are great young point guards who need to work on their shooting percentages. Felton doesn’t yet have a contract and has competition for minutes in Charlotte, and Westbrook will be good on a young team in the west that will be ill equipped to compete, but both will make solid contributions, even if they don’t get to showcase their talents in competitive playoffs games.

Gilbert Arenas

Perhaps Arenas should be in the top ten, and perhaps there are Washington fans who might even put him in the top three, but I just can’t do that. Like many point guards his field-goal percentage is low, and I could forgive that if he had a solid assist-to-turnover ratio, but he doesn’t. In my book a solid point guard, not a great point guard mind you, but a solid point guard, should hand out at least two assists for each turnover and Arenas has never been able to do that. A great point guard should also be able to hand out 7-10 dimes a game and Arenas is a score-first point guard who has never handed out more than 6.3 assists. Still, there is something about Arenas that helps Washington play better and there is no doubting his athletic ability, but being a scoring point guard, history does not bode well for this Washington team with Arenas at the helm.

10. Mike Bibby

Great vet on a young Atlanta team that will play well and come playoffs I imagine Bibby will make me look stupid for not putting him higher on the list, but I see Crawford and Johnson as the go-to guys for Atlanta this season. Still, Bibby is a vet who has hit big shots for the Kings in the past, and he bring a maturity to the team, as well as solid numbers and the ability to play off the ball. He is a point guard who is comfortable when the shooting guard or small forward bring the ball up and still moves well on the court when he isn’t handling the rock. Arenas may put up higher numbers than Bibby, but Bibby will play into his team and help them achieve more this season.

9. Rajon Rondo

After winning a title with Boston, I thought Rondo’s only real flaw was his midrange jumper. Defenders knew he couldn’t hit it and so dipped behind the pick-and-roll to block him on the drive (that said at least he was smart enough not to take shots he couldn’t hit). Last season though he was hitting them, not as well as some, but well enough to force defences to adjust. Boston was without their star forward in Garnett last year in the playoffs, but Rondo stepped up, had a great battle with Derrick Rose in the first round, averaged a triple-double on the series and played great in the second round as well. His game is so much more complete, he can drive like Tony Parker, dish the ball on the drive, and has improved his mid-range jumper and proved he can help on the boards. He also is one of very few point guards to shoot over .500 from the floor and has balls enough to take the ball to the hole when he knows he’s got an opening despite the fact he’s on the floor with three future HOFers (most young guys would just hand the ball over to Pierce, Allen and Garnett). With a healthy roster next year, Rondo’s improved arsenal will help give Boston one of the best starting-five in the league and rather than being a weak link, he will make the Celtics better.

8. Andre Miller

Even though Miller has never had a high field-goal percentage, I’ve always thought he brought a lot to the court. He helps set up plays for teammates and works hard on defence, and his shooting has only ever hurt teams when they have depended on him for scoring. In Portland he will be required to act as a facilitator. Portland had a 50+ win season last year without a good point guard, and with rising stars like Roy and Aldridge blossoming into All-Stars, Miller will be the perfect point guard to help turn Portland into a true contender and I think will help push them into the playoffs.

7. Jose Calderon

While Mo Williams and Jameer Nelson earned their first All-Star appearances, Jose Calderon continued to go on being underrated. Calderon has high percentages across the board, great three-point shooting (over 40%), field-goal shooting (over 50%) and free-throw shooting (over 98%, and NBA record). He also had one of the top assist averages and an amazing assist-to-turnover ratio (better than 4-1, the best in the league as far as I know, and one of the best ratio’s of all time as far as my memory serves me). He doesn’t have the drive to the basket that Tony Parker and Rondo have, but he’s got a game not unlike Stockton. He shoots when he’s open and looks to set up his teammates and would be a great asset to a contender, but he will still bring a lot to a Toronto team that would be extremely luck to even reach the playoffs. It’s a shame that Calderon wasn’t on a team like Portland or Cleveland, or even Philly where his talents could really shine. I hope Toronto fans appreciate having such a unique talent on their team.

6. Baron Davis

I’ve always been high on Davis, he has had great playoff performances in Goldenstate, and as a member of the Charlotte Hornets, but last year was a big let down for Clippers fans. With a great team on paper, the Clippers were underachievers, playing through injuries while trying to integrate several new players to the system. This year I think will be different. Davis has a year in L.A. under his belt and a great squad on paper with three solid rebounders upfront and some good scorers on the wing. Davis will be a leader on the floor and will likely put up as many triple-doubles as any point guard in the league. Like some other shooting guards, Davis needs to improve his field-goal percentage, but he works the boards, sets up plays and scores 20+ a game. If he can take fewer shots and focus on playmaking, the Clippers will be a contender despite what most sports analysts might suggest. Yes, I said contender. These guys are a lock for the playoffs!

5. Tony Parker

Tony Parker’s numbers may not be as impressive as the numbers put up by Chris Paul or Derron Williams, but he plays on a deep team that shares the ball, and will be this season again. But his ability to drive to the basket gets teammates space to shoot and helps to put points up on the board. He’s got the one of the best shooting percentages on this list, better than 2 assists for each turnover and helps work the boards. The only flaw in his game is his three-point shot, which is endurable since Parker is the point guard to one of the best three point-shooting teams in the league. His inability from beyond the arc will be minimized since his job is to either penetrate and dish, or penetrate and score and so will be a valuable asset to a title contending Spurs team this year.

4. Chauncey Billups

Chauncey Billups was high on my MVP list last year because even though he doesn’t put up the best numbers in the league, he makes teams better. He has the longest consecutive conference finals run going among all current players, he is the best defensive point in the league as far as I can see, he hits big shots (even if his field-goal percentage is low) and his hands out more than 2 assists for each turnover. His impact on the Nuggets alone garners a high spot on this list, and his past accomplishments with Detroit back up his MVP status. Even though he isn’t the best point guard, what he brings to the court and what he inspires in his teammates (defensive efforts and sharing the ball) make him more valuable than his stats suggest.

3. Derrick Rose

Some may suggest that this is a high placement for such a young point guard, especially considering that Kidd and Nash aren’t in my top ten, but after the performance he put up in the playoffs I feel compelled to give him a high ranking, and come the end of the season I imagine that some would suggest Rose is on a par with Derron Williams and Chris Paul. As a rookie Rose did everything right. High field-goal percentage, minimal fouls and a solid assist-to-turnover ratio, and with Ben Gordon off to Detroit the scoring load will be on Rose, who I think will step up. I’m not sure that he will be dethroning the other young point guards who have been dropping jaws the past couple of years, but I anticipate the he will put up numbers that would suggest he is one of the five best point guards in the league.

2. Derron Williams

There is a very small gap between the top two guys on this list as far as I can see, but a gap none-the-less. Williams has one of the better shooting percentages on this list, the 07/08 season saw Williams shoot over 50% from the floor and though he dipped a little bit the following season, it was no doubt in part due to the fact that he had come back from injury and saw defences that could focus on him whilst teammate Carlos Boozer was out with an injury. Last season he handed out a career high 10.7 assists despite a slight reduction in minutes, and saw a career high 19.4 points as well, and Williams is one of those guys who makes improvements on his game each year as he has either remained steady or improved his numbers in; scoring, assists, steals and free-throw percentage each of his first four seasons, and save last season when defences focused on him, has also improved his field-goal percentage as well. He’s also managed to reduce his personal fouls and keep his turnovers low despite increasing assist numbers. And one thing he may have on Chris Paul that may make Williams better equipped for a playoff run is his size. He is a solid 6’3 a point guard, and while there are some who may have an inch on him at that position, they are few and most often not as talented (Billups is the only top ten point guard that is taller than Williams).

1. Chris Paul

Picking between Paul and Williams is hard, but the numbers seem to weigh in Paul’s favour. Paul has a better field-goal percentage, over 50%, which is impressive enough coming from a point guard, but doubly impressive when you consider that Paul is one of the shorter point guards in the league and the little guys usually have a harder time getting a good shot off because it is easy for taller defenders to reach for their shots and alter them. He’s got a decent 3 point shot but doesn’t use it unless he’s open because he knows its not his strong point, he’s great from the line at over 85%, he scores 20+ a game but is a pass first point guard who is an assist shy of a 4-1 assist to turnover ratio (11 assists a game to 3 turnovers). His biggest draw backs are his height, which forces him to give up a lot on defence, and the fact that to impact the game he has to have the ball in his hands. That’s not to say he’s a ball hog because there isn’t a person in the league who loves setting up his teammates more than Paul, but he does need to have the ball in his hand to draw defenders to him in order to get his teammates open. The height he gives up on defence is tough to swallow, but he does make up for it in effort. Charlie Rosen of Fox Sports recently wrote that Paul was overrated, saying his defence is defined by his steals which depends on others mistakes, but that gives no credit to Paul’s hustle which forces opponents to make mistakes. Sometimes he gambles to get the steal, like Iverson or Doug Christie of yesteryear, but for the most part he plays close and forces turnovers, and even if he is waiting for others to make mistakes, no point guard takes advantage of those mistakes better than Paul who lead the league in steals the last two years. Trying to knock Paul for the fact he knows how to exploit the mistakes of his opponents is reaching if you ask me. Rosen also claims that Paul is impotent when double-teamed, but in my opinion that is when Paul plays his best because he is a natural passer who knows his ability to score draws defences in and creates opportunities and open shots for his teammates. I don’t think Paul will be able to play at this level when he hits his 30’s because so much of his game relies on his speed and agility and those things don’t stay for long no matter how great your conditioning is, but his fundamentals will keep him playing at a starting level for well into his 30’s because of his low turnovers, high assists, and great shooting, and for the next couple seasons at least Paul will be the best the league has to offer.

NBA Ramblings: Top Ten Small Forwards Of All Time

September 8th, 2009

Top Ten Small Forwards Of All Time

So what makes a great small forward? Well, Chuck Person, Dan Majerle and Roberts Horry all displayed signs of a prototypical small forward. They all had solid post games, and could spot up outside, and Majerle and Horry could both put the ball on the floor early in their careers, and Horry especially put out some strong defensive efforts in Houston’s title runs. Essentially the small forward has to be the most versatile player on the floor, and they have to drop numbers in all the stat columns. They have to be able to move the ball on the perimeter, and they have to help on the boards, while also being able to go in the post, and pop out for a jumper. The guys I mentioned all had one flaw, and that was that once they were respected from behind the three-point line, they camped out there every game, but early in each of their careers they displayed the type of game that a small forward should. You don’t have to be a huge scorer, but you need to be an offence threat and do a little bit of everything. LeBron is not on this list, not because he doesn’t deserve to be, but because I’m just not sure where to put him, and by the end of his career he may be deserving of the top spot on the list, or certainly the second, so until his place in the annals of basketball history is more clear, I’m not including him on this list, though if I had to put him in, it would probably be at #2 despite the fact he’s only played six seasons so far.

Honourable Mention: Derrick McKey (great defender and all around player, could have been on a par with Pippen if the Bulls had kept him on draft day) Tayshawn Prince, (also a great defender) Shawn Marion (great defender and strong rebounder, and so underrated), Robert Horry (always ready to hit the big shot), Sharif Abdul Rahim (a great talent with a strong team mentality whose career was slowed by a number of trades and cut short due to injury), Sean Elliot (the unsung hero of the early Spurs days, and an impressive comeback after kidney surgery), Carmelo Athony, Josh Smith (great all around player and defender), AK 47 (5X5 king), Gerald Wallace (baby Josh Smith), Cedric Maxwell (great role player on a great Boston team), Dan Majerle, Mark Aguire, Grant Hill (would have been on the list if he‘d not suffered through so many injuries) and Chris Mullen (the best shooter not on the list).

And a note; the exclusion of Bill Cunningham was a hard choice, he got 2.2 steals a game on his career, and averaged over 20/10 on his career as well as 5+ assists a game. He could easily be put as high as five on this list, and I also had a hard time leaving him off the power forward list since he played both positions.

10. Bernard King

Twice during his career King faced potentially career ending injuries, first when he was 23, and then again when he was 30. At 30 most had written him off, but King returned to all-star form and put up 28.4 points a game, his second best scoring average, at the age of 34. King started off as a great rebounder, and after his first severe injury he put up more humble numbers, pulling in around 5 boards a game for the rest of his career, and also developing his passing game as his career progressed, dishing out 4.6 a game at 34, and he shot an impressive 51% from the field for his career. Had he not gone through such rough patches with his injuries, King could have been playing on a level near Bird, Magic and Dr. J, but even with the injuries that slowed him down, his work ethic and conditioning pushed him back to an all-star level, and he had one of the best post-up games of all the players on this list, despite only being 6-7 making his nearly 10 rebounds a game in his rookie season all the more impressive). A third knee injury pulled him out of the NBA for an entire season in 91/92 season, but King demanded to retire on his own terms and rehabbed his knee again, returning to play for the Nets in the 92/93 season, though at the age of 36, he wasn’t able to return to his all-star level of play. I put King on the list a head of Cunningham because he battled through so many injuries and had more longevity, but Cunningham was a better rebounder and better passer.

9. Adrian Dantley

I was a big Detroit fan growing up, and every Detroit fan was excited to have Dantley on the team, but mid-way through Detroit first championship season, Detroit traded the aging superstar for Mark Aguirre, and so Dantley missed his chance at an NBA title. But even without a ring, Dantley was a great small forward, averaging 30+ points a game for four straight seasons at one point, and finishing his career shooting an impressive 54% from the field, the highest on this list. In his prime is was common for Dantley to pull in a double-double, and his work on the boards got him some impressive rebounding averages for a guy who was only 6-5, shorter than most shooting guards let alone forwards. He also increased his assist averages in the seasons in which his scoring went up, though his assist-to-turnover ratios were always around one-to-one, and because he gave up a lot in the size department to other forwards, he in turn gave up a little on defence because it was easier for some of the taller forwards to post up on Dantley or create some space for a jump shot.

8. Dominique Wilkins

The Human Highlight Reel was on a par with Jordan and Dr. J when it came to athletic ability and scoring, and he had the best single-season rebounding performance out of the three, but his game encouraged some sports writers to note that Dominique always drove in the no-passing lane. Dominique made Jordan earn his scoring titles, but he didn’t do very much for his team. His best rebounding season had him pulling down 9 boards a game, but his career average for assists is only 2.5 a game, a number equal to his career turnover average. Dominique is one of those few HOF calibre players who doesn’t have a ring, and this is odd considering the fact that he played with both Kevin Willis, the second best rebounder of his generation behind Rodman, and Moses Malone, one of the greatest centers in NBA history. He also had Doc Rivers, Kenny Smith and Spudd Webb playing in the back court, so Dominique had all the pieces to really contend. Dominique always had some talent around him, and always had fresh young talent around him with the high draft picks being awarded to Atlanta for their poor regular season performances, and had a player like Jordan had that same roster, or even Paul Pierce, then those teams would have been making title runs instead of entering the lottery or providing fodder for Boston and Detroit in the first round. So even though Dominique is the third best scorer on this list, and probably the third best rebounder as well, his individual stats don’t add up to the team accomplishments of the players ahead of him on this list.

7. James Worthy

Dominique was a better scorer, and a better rebounder, so why have I put Worthy ahead of Dominique? Well, we all know that basketball is a team sport, and Worthy was a team player. Worthy was a great scorer, and had he been traded to Atlanta for Dominique, then he would have been able to provide as many points as Dominique did if he was called upon to do so. Neither were known as phenomenal defenders, but both were decent defenders and got their share of steals, but what separates Worthy from Dominique for me is the assists. Worthy wasn’t a great passer compared to Bird, or Robertson, but he knew how important it was the move the ball, and he got almost four dimes a game in the pique of his career, and when Magic was forced into early retirement, Worthy set an example for his teammates and pushed his assist average up to a career high 4.7 a game. His field-goal percentage was also at 52% on his career, a high percentage for a small forward, and much higher than Dominique’s 46%. Worthy helped his team win three titles, and was a consistent, and efficient scorer who did his job on the boards and moved the ball around and could always pull out a big performance in the playoffs when the need arose, but in games when the team was playing well he also had no problem taking a step back and allowing Byron Scott, A.C. Green and other players get involved, and that team-first mentality is rare in such a great scorer and is one of the reasons that the Lakers were capable of winning back-to-back titles at a time when the league was perhaps its most competitive.

6. Paul Pierce

The 2008 Finals MVP cemented his spot as one of the greatest small forwards in league history. Some may not put him as high on the list as four, but though I don’t have him that high, he has been so consistent over the last ten years that I can’t put him any lower. A steady 25+ a game on offence, and 6 boards and about 4 assists a game on his career make him a great all around player. His 1.6 steals a game don’t do his defensive game justice, as Pierce has always been a solid defender, even if his efforts have not always been recognized by the league when it comes around to picking the all-defensive teams, and anybody who doesn’t believe me can just look at how he played LBJ and Kobe in the 2008 playoffs. He always took on the toughest defensive job, and could play out on the perimeter or in the post. Much was said about Garnett’s influence on the Celtics upon his arrival, but Pierce had gotten the Celtics to the conference finals before, and was doing a great job helping players like Al Jefferson develop into All-Star calibre players. And like David Robinson and Isaiah Thomas and Garnett (who never publicly demanded a trade from Minnesota), Pierce always went with the company line and played hard for Boston, even when they weren’t winning, allowing them the have a strong cornerstone to their team from which to build.

5. Paul Arizin

I wasn’t sure where to put Arizin on this list, he’s got impressive career stats and has won an NBA championship, but its hard to compare players from one generation and another, and Arizin is the player most removed from the other players on this list in terms of generational gap, but his greatness cannot be denied. Arizin and Robertson are the two best rebounders on this list. His scoring career scoring average is a solid 22.8 a game, but though that number may seem meek compared to some on the list, it was achieved during an era where Arizin played most of his career before the 24 second shot clock was introduced and people just did not score 30 points a game because there were much fewer possessions during the course of a game. He also averaged almost 9 boards a game, a stat that is also diluted due to fewer number of possessions team had before the shot clock was introduced, so he may very well have been an even better rebounder than Robertson, though he was at least Robertson’s equal in this regard. The only knock on Arizin was that his had fairly low assist numbers, less than three a game on his career, and his field-goal percentage was only 42%, but the percentages were lower on a whole in that era, so I will forgive him that (seven of Arizin’s teammates shot lower than 40% in during their championship run).

4. Scottie Pippen

Picking the best player out of Pippen, Wilkens, Worthy and Pierce was hard, but I’m going with Pippen because in my eyes he has the best all-around game out of the four. The others were all better scorers in my book, but Pippen wasn’t asked to score as much as the others since he had Jordon on the court with him. If Jordan was the guy that got the talent around him to play together, Pippen was the facilitator of the team. He helped Kukoc develop in the NBA and helped to make him better, and was always looking to make plays for others, like Harper, Brooks Paxon and even Jordan. As for his offensive game, he had a great one, and it was good enough that when he was distributing the ball in the triangle offence, defences had to pay as much attention to him as Jordan, creating openings for others on the team, and making Jordan’s job a little easier. He was a strong rebounder, close to 9 a game in his best season, and almost 7 on his career, while he was also a strong playmaker, handing out 7 a game in his best season, and over 5 on his career. Unlike the guys above him on the list, Pippen didn’t play like a HOFer in his rookie year, but instead developed his game over his first few years, but once he entered maturity, he was one of the best in the league at his position. And his all-around game did include defence: about 2 steals and a block a game on his career. And for anybody who thought he was just Robin to Jordan’s Batman, it was clear after Jordan’s first retirement that Pippen was a true leader and a member of the NBA elite as he lead the Chicago Bulls, a team many expected to be a lottery team, to an impressive 55 wins, a Central Division title, a first round sweep over a talented Cavs team and pushing an amazing Knicks team to 7 games in the second round. Pippen remains one of the most underrated players in league history, and even though he didn’t put up scoring averages comparable to others on this list, his all-around game and six NBA championships make a case for Pippen being in the top five.

3. Rick Barry

Rick Barry had one of the sweetest shots the NBA has ever seen, and he even spawned a couple of great shooters in Jon an Brent. In his sophomore year Barry scorched the league with 35+ scoring average, and pulled down close to 10 boards, but it wasn’t until ‘75 that Barry developed a strong all-around game, handing out 6.2 assists and snagging in almost 3 steals a game, while also grabbing a half dozen boards to boot, and it was this season that Rick Barry earned his first and only title. What was really impressive about that title run was that Barry had no other HOFers playing with him, and he really carried that team to a win, leading his team in scoring, assists, steals and free-throw percentage and leading them as they beat a strong Washington team that featured Wes Unseld. He might not be as popular as some of the other guys on this list, but his shot, his scoring, and defence (2.0 steals a game on his career), made him one of the best players in the league, and even though he seldom played on very deep teams, he still managed to pull out a title, unlike some of today’s super star small forwards (Tracey McGreedy and Vince Carter) who place blame for losses on others and demand trades. Barry worked hard and remained patient, winning a title, and earning himself a spot in the HOF and a place among the greatest small forwards in league history.

2. Julius Erving

There was much to be said about how Bird and Magic brought fans to basketball in the 80’s, but Erving’s influence cannot be underrated. With his unique athletic talents, Dr. J mesmerized fans with his high flying game, and not only could he make jaws drop to the floor, but rebound and pass the rock. In the ABA Dr. J was grabbing 15 boards a game in his rookie season (though the ABA was short on quality centers), and though many fans say Dr. J’s best days were in the ABA, he still played like a HOFer in the NBA, getting an assist-to-steals ratio of about 2-1, and handing out over 4 assists a game on his career. He also put up 25+ points a game for most of his career, and did so while shoot over 50% from the floor. On defence he was a terrors and averaged around 2 steals and 2 blocks a game for much of his career, making him an impressive shot blocker for his position, and his peripheral vision allowed him to guard the passing lanes. Like Robertson, he only earned one ring, but like Robertson he played in a competitive league, in the east they had to play Boston every year in the post season, and in the finals they would have to face the Lakers, and many believe had the Lakers not been plagued by injuries, the 76ers would have never won a title with Dr. J, but they had themselves in contention ever year, and had they not played in such a competitive era, there is no doubt that Erving would have a couple more rings.

1. Oscar Roberson

Out of this group of players it is easy to put Robertson at the top, what is harder is deciding what position Robertson played. I’m going with small forward, but anybody could count his as a point guard or a shooting guard, but statistically, his game seems to lend itself to small forward. A lot has been made of the fact that Robertson averaged a triple double one year, but if you combine his stats for the first six years of his career, it works out to a triple double, and even if you took those six seasons out of his career, he’d still have an impressive stats line with 20 points, 5 boards and 8 assists. He’s only got one ring and one MVP award, but he is easily the best all around player the league has ever seen, and what is impressive about his triple double season, and most of his career, was that even while hoisting up 30+ points a game, he was still handing out 10+ assists. There isn’t any other player in the league to score so much while also facilitating for his teammates, and Robertson played in an era with some of the greatest player: Chamberlain, Jabbar, and Russell, and all of them are firm in their assertion that Robertson is the best player to ever step on the court, and anybody who played on the other side of Robertson not only had their hands full on defence, but also had a hard time getting a shot off on the other end as Robertson was respected as a premiere defender among his contemporaries. His game was easily the most complete, and the fact he only has one ring is forgivable since he played his prime while Russell and the Celtics ran off eleven championship runs.

NBA Ramblings: Top Ten Power Forwards Of All Time

September 8th, 2009

Top Ten Power Forwards Of All Time

Well, as with other positions, I think it is important to outline what makes a great power forward before tackling a list ranking the best of all time. The power forward spot is much like the center spot, double-digit rebounding is expected, and solid defence to, but power forwards have to be more versatile on offence, a strong mid-range jumper isn’t a bonus, it is expected. Because the forward spot is required to score more, they must handle the ball more, so they should have better assist-to-turnover rations than centers. Unlike the point guard though, there isn’t such a tight definition as to what a forward needs to do, but since there are so many 20-10 forwards on the books, the things that set the great ones apart from the good ones, is their ability to be a great facilitator (making teammates better is always important), stellar defence, and championships. This means that individual stats aren’t the most important thing when compiling this list, if they were Bob Petite and Elgin Baylor would be at the top, and they aren’t (though they are both on the list).

Most current forwards in the league won’t be on the list because it is too early in their careers to really evaluate them (sorry Amare, Gooden and Bosh), but it is clear that this generation does have its share of great power forwards.

Honourable mentions: Dave Debusschere, Maurice Lucas, Kevin McHale, Dirk Nowitzki (who needs to win a couple titles if he ever wants to be more than Germany’s answer to Bird), Chris Webber (who would have been still been playing if it wasn’t for that knee injury), A.C. Green (the NBA’s iron man at 1,192 games straight), Michael Cage (a rebounding monsters), Horace and Harvey Grant (Horace got the rings, but Harvey was a 20/10 player himself) Otis Thorpe, Bill Cunningham (who I feel really bad leaving off this list, since like Barkley he was quite the rebounder at only 6-6 and was a great playmaker long before forwards were used as playmakers), Charles Oakley, Larry Nance (who was greatly underrated in an era that hosted many great forwards) and Larry Johnson (whose career was cut short by a back injury and who re-invented his game to stay in the league a few more years). There are tons more who I’d like to include, but the list would just be too long.

10. Willis Reed

I realize that Reed was a bit more of a center, but he did play forward as well, and was always undersized at center since he was only 6-9. His career was relatively short, but he did help lead New York to two NBA titles, and did what Ewing never could. His scoring average might not have been jaw-dropping, but his defence anchored what I think New York fans actually refer to as a “dynasty”. His defence was great, and his rebounding was solid and his post up game called enough attention to opposing defences that left space open for Walt Frazier, Earl Monroe and Dave Debusschere. A strong defensive presence, a solid post up game, an MVP award, two titles and that unforgettable finals appearance where he came back from a severe injury to play (albeit limited minutes) and help motivate his teammates to pull out a huge win that brought a title to New York. I’ll concede that Reed won’t appear on most people’s list, and there are a couple of people in the honourable mentions list that may be more worthy than Reed, but he added a great story to the NBA mythos and was the cornerstone of the Knicks only two titles. And he even helped Phil Jackson earn his first ring.

9. Dennis Rodman

Being a big fan of Rodman, I wish I could put him higher on this list, but though he is easily the best rebounder of his generation, Hayes, Baylor and Petite were all better rebounders and also better scorers. Rodman though was a unique player. In a time when there were far less possessions a game and team rebounding was the rule across the league, and had pushed the freakishly high rebounding averages of the 60’s and 70’s down, Rodman was the only player to pull down boards on a pace that was competitive with the numbers Russell, Petite, Baylor and Chamberlain put out there. His 18.7 boards a game, posted in the 91/92 season has not been matched since, almost 20 years later, and were the best rebounding numbers put up by an individual in 20 years, since Chamberlain’s 19.2 boards a game in ‘72. At the time, Jordan was stringing along an impressive scoring streak and most fans were too busy dropping their jaws about that and didn’t notice that Rodman was doing something that hadn’t been done in twenty years and in all likelihood would not be done again at all. He also strung together 7 straight rebounding titles, a feat nobody has ever accomplished before. Rebounding was not Rodman’s only talent though as before he blossomed into a rebounding king, he was already a defensive master. He won his first Defensive Player of the Year award in 1990, a season in which he came off the bench for much of the season, the only bench player to win the award. The next season, when he had a regular spot on in the starting rotation, Rodman won the award again. The only part of the game that Rodman seemed to miss was scoring, an aspect which seemed to be developing nicely for his first few seasons, but one which he seemed to completely abandon by his fifth season. He did have some talent in this respect though, his former coach Chuck Daley once said that Rodman was the best three-point shooter on the team, despite the fact he hardly took them during games. Part of this was due to the fact that he was a young player on a veteran team with lots of veteran scorers, so he took a diminished scoring role and focused on rebounding and defence. His limited offensive game is also in part due to the fact that he was relatively new to the game when he entered the NBA. Rodman had never even picked up a basketball in high school and was a walk-on in college and made the team during tryouts and was not even scouted. By the time he joined the Bulls Rodman really had no need to score, not with Jordan, Pippen and that Kukoc. So he continued to do what he did best, and added a wicked outlet pass, shades of Wes Unseld, that helped jumped Chicago’s fast break offence. His career may have been over shadowed by conflicts with officials, and personal problems and outbursts, but when he was on the court he knew that basketball was a team sport and like Russell took on certain responsibilities and depended on teammates to fulfill other duties. His five titles are proof of his ability to play within a team structure, despite his reputation to the contrary, and his ability to rebound was a special anomaly that was a treat for fans to see.

8. Elvin Hayes

When Wes Unseld won an NBA title with the Washington Bullets, he didn’t do it by himself. Elvin Hayes helped to bolster the front court at the power forward spot (and current Lakers GM Mitch Kupchak backed both all-stars up). You could call him a poor man’s Elgin Baylor, but even a poor man’s Elgin Baylor deserves a spot on this list. His first three seasons were statistically his best (all around 28 points per game and 16 or 17 rebounds to go along), but he was still getting over 20 and 10 when he and Wes Unseld lead the Bullets to back-to-back NBA finals appearances, both against the Seattle Supersonics. Each team came away with a title, but Elvin Hayes, who started his NBA career a little late at the age of 24, was still going strong in his mid-30’s. He might not have had the longevity of Karl Malone or Kareem, but few players did in that era. Still, Hayes played near a 20/10 level at 35. Unseld always gets a lot of credit for the Bullets lone title, and when it comes to old school power forwards, Baylor and Petite always get a lot of bids, which makes it easy to forget Elvin Hayes. He wasn’t the best passing forward (far from it), but he pulled down the boards and put up the points, and did so more than any forwards outside of Petite and Baylor. I’m not sure how he was on defence since I haven’t had the privilege of watching him play, nor have I heard much about his defensive prowess, so I can’t praise or rail Hayes in this respect, but I’m sure he held his own.

7. Charles Barkley

The round mound of rebound came into the league a little chubby and a little short for a power forward, but he eventually went on to win league MVP honours while playing for Phoenix. His career statistically looks much like Karl Malone’s, especially in their pique years, but there are two key differences between the two, one; Barkley never had a point guard like Stockton to work with for the majority of his career, and two; Barkley only measures up to 6-6, pretty short next to Malone’s 6-9 frame, and most other power forwards in the league at the time who measured as tall or taller than Malone. Barkley had to make up for his size in other ways, and he also had to make up for a lack of athleticisms, so like Bird, Barkley developed a high basketball IQ and a good long range jumper (though no power forward was a better shooter than Bird). Now, I’m not saying Barkley was as unathletic as Bird, because that just isn’t the case, but I think its clear he was lacking in that department when you compared him to some of the other forwards of his generation (Larry Nance, Karl Malone, Michael Cage, Xavier McDonald and Dennis Rodman to name a few). But Barkley understood the game better than most other people he shared the court with, and he had great field vision which helped to make him the best passing forward (outside of Bird) since Elgin Baylor. He was also the best rebounder in the league for a time, and probably the best rebounder under 6-7 in league history. His high basketball IQ also earned him plenty of scoring opportunities (see the Charles Barley suckers play as one of many examples), and though he lacked the fancy foot work in the post that made Malone and Olajuwon so impressive, he could still get himself deep in the post with his bump-and-grind routine, which I’m sure gave at least a couple of players a semi-erection more than once (and also inspired the NBA to come up with the “five-seconds-with-your-back-to-the-basket” rule. As a child Barkley was easily my favourite player (an admiration I had to defend constantly to friends), but as much as I might want to put him near the top of this list, I just can’t put him any higher than this. His conditioning wasn’t nearly as impressive as Malone and in turn he didn‘t have the longevity Malone had, his individual stats are not as impressive as Petite or Baylor’s, or even Bird for that matter, and he has no rings (though the officials clearly robbed him of one against the Bulls in ‘93).

6. Kevin Garnett

Had he not won a title last year, I wouldn’t put him on this list just yet, and depending how the next couple of years go in Boston, Garnett may very well push himself in the top five, and I’m sure there are fans out there who would put Garnett in the top five now, but it is clear that Garnett has accomplished enough in his career to earn a spot in the top ten at least. I was actually going to put Barkley ahead of Garnett and changed my mind at the last minute, because even though Barkley was clearly a better offensive player, and likely a better rebounder (though both are great on the boards and there is a tiny, if any, gap between the two of them in this respect), Garnett is a much better defender and that is something Barkley was utterly lacking. That, and Garnett’s offensive numbers, like Duncan’s, are low because Garnett and Duncan both command double teams in the post and are unselfish enough to realize that passing out of the double-team gets easy baskets for their team. That said, I think all one needs to do to understand what I’m saying is look at Garnett’s assist numbers: 6.0 in his finest season and 4.3 on his career. There are point guards who get less assists. Garnett is also a perennial member the NBA All-Defnesive first team. The numbers he puts up in the assist column, and the rebounding column, alongside of his defence and his offensive weapons (which include both great foot work in the post, and a strong mid range jumper), make Garnett too good not to include on this list, and though he hasn’t had much luck in the post season until his year first year with Boston, the first time he really did have a contender to play with he won it all, and the last time he had a great team, he took the T-Wolves to the conference finals where he lost out to Malone, Shaq, Kobe and Payton, so he was more than a little outgunned at the time. Garnett will be remembered for his defence, but his offence would be as impressive as Malone, Barkley and Bird if Garnett felt so inclined to scored 30 points a game, and his crisp passing skills should also be remembered.

5. Bob Petite

If it wasn’t for Bob Petite, Bill Russell and the Celtics may very well have pumped out ten straight titles. Petite and his St. Louis Hawks managed to squeak one out from Boston in ‘58 and it was no doubt partly thanks to Bobs 24+ points and 17+ rebounds. Like Cousy defined the point guard position, and Mikan defined the center position, Petite has been accredited by many with defining the power forward position, and if you look at his numbers, few (outside of Elgin Baylor) have put up numbers better than Petite. His influence on how the position is played is especially important considering that he was the first dominant power forward in the 24-shot clock era. To this day Baylor is the only forward who really put up better numbers than Petite, and though numbers don’t tell the whole story, his impressive stats, the role he played in defining his position, and his championship season that came during the Boston Celtics/Bill Russell era are a testament to his tremendous talent. And before Chamberlain entered the league, Petite was Russell’s biggest competition (the two met up in the finals 4 times).

4. Elgin Baylor

He might rightly deserve to be a little higher on the list, and one-on-one, he could probably take the guys above him on this list to the whole in his prime. But like Chamberlain, what is most impressive about Baylor is his individual statistics. And don’t think that means he was a ball hog, because Baylor knew how to pass the rock- 5.5 assists per game in his best season, and 4.3 on his career. He also had one of the most impressive statistical seasons in 61/62 when he put up 38.3 points a game and grabbed 18.6 rebounds a game as well. On his career the numbers are almost as impressive at 27.4 and 13.5 respectively. Like Chamberlain though, it wasn’t until he took on a smaller role that the titles came in, and it was Chamberlain that helped Baylor, and their fellow Laker Jerry West, finally bring a title to the Lakers.

3. Karl Malone

Karl Malone is arguably the greatest retired player who doesn’t have a ring (though his teammate Stockton is in that conversation as well). Malone’s talent is unquestionable and undeniable. When he came into the league he had a great post up game and was a solid rebounder. His phenomenal foot work in the post helped make him a 20/10 power forward, and unlike Barkley, who often relied on the “back-your-ass-up” routine to get deep in the paint, Malone would dance around defenders to get to the basket. As his career went on though, Malone developed an outstanding mid-range jumper, and was pretty good from anywhere inside the arc. His defence was also top notch, got 1.4 steals per game for his career, pretty good for a forward, and nearly 1 block a game to boot. In the post there were few who could get the better on him one-on-one, and his free-throw percentage improved steadily throughout his career, illustrating that even as a perennial all-star, Malone was always looking to improve his game. He was also one of the great passing forwards in the league who challenged the role of a typical power forward, and along with Charles Barkley set the tone for front court players like Chris Webber, Brad Miller and Anthony Mason, who all modelled their post up games after Malone and Barkley who focused on their ability to pass out of the double-team as much as they focused on their moves to the basket. Malone though gets a spot above Barkley because of his defence, and gets ahead of Baylor due to his incomparable longevity, which is due primarily to his conditioning, an aspect of his career which Malone took great pride in, and an aspect which made him the oldest player to average 20+ points a game. With 18 straight seasons of averaging 20+ points a game, and finishing second on the all-time scoring list, Malone has assured his spot among the leagues greatest power forwards.

2. Larry Bird

Yes, Bird was a card board cut out on defence, and one of the least athletic players in the HOF, but that didn’t stop Bird from being one of the greatest players to ever step on the hardwood. Bird had a high basketball IQ, and though that term is thrown around a lot, it is certainly true of Larry Bird. Larry Bird relied on his knowledge of where to go and how to box out, and how to anticipate a rebound to always get in the right position, allowing his ability to read the court to compensate for the fact that he couldn’t jump over a pancake, and still get enough rebounds to finish with a 10 per game career average. And despite being slow, and a weak one-on-one defender, Bird still compiled over 1500 career steals, because he knew how to watch the passing lanes and anticipate a pass (just see him pick of that inbounds pass in the closing seconds of that playoff game against Detroit). And of course there was his shooting ability. There were times on the court, primarily when he stepped behind the arc, that Bird played more like a small forward than a power forward, and that shot was smooth, but it wasn’t innate talent, Bird busted his ass off in the gym, launching shot after shot to make sure his release was smooth when it came to game time. That shot made Bird one of the best scorers in the league while he played, and helped Boston add three banners to their collection. But scoring, rebounding and steals weren’t all Bird could do, he was also the best passing power forward in the history of the league, putting up 7.6 assists a game in his best season, and outside of Magic was the guy closest to averaging a triple-double since Oscar Robertson. And enough can’t be said about how Bird, along with Magic, helped to make the sport mainstream. What was seen as a largely “black” sport in the 60’s and especially the 70’s, became a mainstream sport in the 80’s when Magic and Bird showed fans what the game was all about. Was Isaiah right when he claimed sports analysts wouldn’t be shouting Bird’s praises if he weren’t white? No, because there were lots of great white players in the NBA in the 80’s and 90’s that never got as much press as Magic and Jordan and even Thomas for the matter. What got Bird attention was the fact that he was so great in the clutch, that he worked so hard, and that he got his team to the finals more time than I can count, and help Boston hoist up 3 titles in his career. Black or white, Bird is deserving of a spot near the top of this list and is one of the ten best player in the history of the league.

1. Tim Duncan

Duncan’s 20/10 career averages are impressive, but they do seem meek compared to some others on the list, so why is he at the top of this list? Well his four rings and counting help a lot, and his defence certainly gives him a leg up on Larry Legend and Sir Charles, neither of whom was particularly outstanding on defence. But Duncan’s defence and rings aren’t the entire story for Duncan. Inside the arc, Duncan is one of the most consistent big men in league history, and his mid-range jumper, as good as it is, isn’t even as impressive as his foot work in the post, which though not as jaw-dropping as Olajuwon’s, is still the best example of footwork in the post that the NBA has to offer today. And what’s more, Duncan knows how to create offence for himself with his face to the basket, which few big men know how to do (Amare gets a nod for this as well). With all these weapons though, his scoring average is only 20 a game, nothing to write home about, so why do I have him a number one? Has he compiled an awe-inspiring number of assists? He has certainly handed out more than his share (career average of 3.3), but his numbers aren’t as high as Birds, or several others on this list. What is true though is that Duncan sets the tone for the rest of his team. He is perhaps the best facilitator in the league today (Nash may have one up on Duncan here), and even if he doesn’t get a lot of assists, his impact is huge on every play that is run when he is on the court, even when he doesn’t touch the ball. Even standing out on the wing, defences have to make sure two guys can run to him at all times, and his eagerness to move the ball to teammates has been taken up by his teammates, so when he gets double teamed in the post, and kicks it out to Parker, or Ginobili, they are just as eager to move the ball to Finley who is just as eager to move the ball out to Mason, or Bowen, and somewhere along the line the defence falls apart and somebody gets an open shot. Duncan won’t get the assist on plays like that, but anybody who has watched the Spurs play can see how great the ball movement is, and it all starts with Duncan (and Greg Popovic deserves some credit here to). He might not get the assist, but the play starts with him, and even when the play doesn’t start with him, the defence always has to play him tight and that opens the floor up for his teammates. He isn’t like LeBron, or Bryant, both of who really need to have their hands on the ball to make an impact, Duncan though encourages team play, and shows confidence in his teammates, and as a result late, first-round, and second-round picks like Ginobili, and Parker have become perennial all-stars, and bench warmers from lottery teams like Bowen and Mason have become important starters on championship calibre teams. Kobe started on a team that already had three all-stars (Eddie Jones, Nick VanExel and Shaq), and picked up more every year (Isaiah Rider, Mitch Richmond, Dennis Rodman, Horace Grant, Karl Malone, Gary Payton, Robert Horry, ect…) and when Shaq got traded, even a great all-around player like Odom was not enough, Kobe needed Gasol to. I think we all know, with Bynum or even Kawmbe Brown, Jordon would have been competitive, Kobe though has not been able to make players better like Duncan has, and it is this ability to facilitate that has allowed Duncan to harness a team-first atmosphere in San Antonio and make the Spurs the most consistent contender in the last 12 years. There hasn’t been a season since Duncan joined the Spurs that they weren’t serious contenders for the NBA championship.

NBA Ramblings: Season Projections (The West)

August 31st, 2009

NBA Season Projections (The West)

Northwest Division

1. Portland Trailblazers

Greg Oden did not live up to expectations last season, but he did prove he was a rebounding stud and a shot blocker, though his overenthusiastic approach to defence too often lead to foul trouble. Hopefully for the Blazers Oden will take steps to improve and reach his potential, but even if the Oden only show slight improvement, the Blazers got many reasons to excited for the upcoming season. Brandon Roy hit as many game winners as anybody in the league last year and has emerged as one of the top young shooting guards in the league. This year Roy will have something he hasn’t had since he entered the NBA: a solid point guard playing alongside of him. Andre Miller may not be the best shooting point guard, and he may not be young, but he knows how to play the position, distribute the ball and defend. With Rudy Fernandez backing up Roy, and sophomore Bayless backing up, and learning from Andre Miller, the Blazer back court is set. In the front court the future is bright. LaMarcus Aldridge has emerged as one of the top power forwards in the league and even if Oden doesn’t blossom this season, Joel Prsybilla can handle the center spot as well. The only position they are not stacked at is small forward, which will hurt them when the playoffs role around (the Spurs, Mavs and Lakers will make trouble for them), but they do have a couple young guys to fill in at small forward (Travis Outlaw and Nic Batum) during the regular season and that should be enough to win the division.

2. Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets have done good to keep last year’s squad together, but their deep playoff run has as much to do with their seeding in the playoffs as it did with their talent. This year they will have enough to keep up, but not to improve. While the Blazers have made upgrades, the Nuggets have been trying to keep their pay role lean. Chauncey Billups still has lots of gas left in his tank and will likely push his teammates to a 50+ win season, but the will slip slightly in the rankings (don’t forget, even though they got the second seed in the west, they were in a three way tie with the Spurs and the Blazers, with the Mavs and Rockets not too far behind). Anthony is one of the better small forwards in the league, and he can rebound well when he works at it, and Nene and Martin and Andersen are rebounding studs and defensive work horses. J.R. Smith should be moving up to a starting spot, which may thin out the bench a little, but will make the starting line-up more formidable. Nobody is going to want to play these guys in the playoffs, but the Blazers will do better in the regular season.

3. Utah Jazz

The Jazz have enough talent on this team to take the division and even contend, but the problem is more about chemistry. Carlos Boozer has made his intentions clear, as have the Jazz, and unless a trade gets done before the season starts this strained relationship is going to serve to be a diversion during the season and may actually allow the Thunder snag the number three spot in the division. Paul Millsap played well while Boozer was out last year, but he is not as good as Boozer, and while Derron Williams is likely the second best point guard in the league now (behind Chris Paul), he and Paul share something: they are both little guys, and it is hard for a team to make a run when their best player is barely six feet tall. Harpring may retire, which would dilute their bench, AK-47 hasn’t played well since his last contract year, and while Okur and Kyle Krover were important pieces to hang onto, it won’t be enough to push ahead in this division with the Blazers making and upgrade and the Thunder getting better. If the Jazz don’t work out a Boozer trade soon and pick up solid contributor in return, they may find themselves working to stay ahead of a Thunder team who is better than many might think.

4. Oklahoma Thunder

This is a great young team. Kevin Durant, like Brandon Roy, is turning into one of the best young shooting guards in the league. Russell Westbrook is a solid young point guard, Jeff Green is coming along as a solid power forward, and at center they have a couple of pieces that seem to tide them over in Nick Collison (who works the boards) and Nenad Krstic (who needs more vowels in his last name and needs to bust his ass off on the boards a little harder- I’ve never been to crazy about the guy myself). They don’t have any established players to fill up the minutes that Durant leaves at small-forward and guard, but they do have a promising draft pick in James Harden who shot over .500 in college, so if Durant is down with moving to small forward full time and letting the new kid try his luck, the Thunder may turn some heads this year, and I do believe that it is possible for them to finish as high as second in their division if the Nuggets find that teams have adjusted to their style of play form last season and the Jazz find that the Boozer situation is as much of a distraction as the Vince Carter situation was several years ago in Toronto.

5. Minnesota Timber Wolves

I’m not sure why this team drafted three point guards, or why they drafted an unproven, very young, European point guard who is under contract and hard to be bought out when they have so many other needs to address. Al Jefferson and Kevin Love are a good start in the front court, and with those two guys getting starting minutes the T-Wolves can expect 35+ points and 22+ rebounds combined from them. But they coughed up Randy Foye and Mike Miller in a trade that brought them seemingly nothing in return, and have also given up Craig Smith and Sebastian Teflair (the later of which may not have been a bad thing), and the best player they’ve gotten via trades this season, Quentin Richardson, was given up for back up center Mark Blount! I thought Kevin McHale was one of the worst GMs in NBA history until I saw what his replacement did to this squad! I just can’t find a reason to think this team can even win twenty games this year, no matter how much I like Jefferson and Love. If they still had Foye and Miller, the addition of a smart veteran point guard like Chucky Atkins and a couple of young talent point guards could have made sense, but as it stands this team has just gutted their roster and has received to little in return to even hope to make an improvement on last season’s effort.

Pacific

1. L.A. Lakers

I think I’d have to be the least knowledgeable basketball fan on the planet to pick anybody other than the Lakers to take the Pacific. They are the defending champs, and they were the best team last year, no question about it, and they remain the best team in their division. That said, I don’t think the gap between them and other contenders is as wide as many others think, and while the Lakers have seemingly made some upgrades and the Pacific division crown is a gimmie for them, they do not have a title locked up. Ron Artest proved last year in the playoffs by blowing up several times that though he provides much intensity and talent on defence, he remains the loose canon that has earned him his reputation. Having Atrest instead of Trevor Ariza may look good on paper, but Ariza is a true role player, which is what a championship team needs to surround all-star calibre players like Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom. The Lakers have the best guard on the planet in Kobe Bryant, and they have the best front court rotation in the league with Andrew Bynum, Pau Gasol, Lamar Odom and Ron Artest, and the fact that Odom and Gasol can both play two front court positions allows Phil Jackson to keep his best talent on the court as much as possible. And even when those guys can’t be replaced with each other, the Lakers have DJ Mbenga who is a spirited shot blocker and rebounder; he gets more than his share of fouls, but if he reigns that in a bit under Jackson’s guidance he will be a great guy to go to when Bynum is in foul trouble and Pau is at power forward. Adam Morrison can also spot at forward and he is a fairly talented player. At guard, they already have the best in the league, and he can play 32+ minutes a game at least, but in case Bryant gets tired or hits foul trouble the Lakers do have Sasha Vujacic, who is long and lean and works hard on defence, as well as Shannon Brown who seemed to be eating up some of Vujacic’s minutes in the playoffs this year. At point guard the Lakers have their only weakness, and it really isn’t so bad. Derrick Fischer is a smart, talented player who is a perfect role player that can hit clutch shots as he has proved time and again over his career with the Lakers. I’m not as high on Jordan Farmar as some, and while I’d like to see Sun Yue develop into a solid contributor, there has been no evidence that he is likely to do so anytime soon. The Pacific is the weakest division in the West and maybe the league, so the Lakers should take it easily (and may again find themselves as the only playoff team in their division), but come playoff time I think they will find they have to work a lot harder than most people think to win.

2. L.A. Clippers

The Clippers were gross underachievers last year, but I expect that with a year under their belt they are ready to compete. They have an NBA ready rookie power forward in Blake Griffen who could well turn out to be the best power forward of his generation, but he won’t have to be so dominant for the Clippers to win as they have two of the best rebounder and shot blockers in the league with Chris Kaman and Marcus Camby. At point guard they have one of the best in the league in Baron Davis, and I think he can keep up with any other point guard in the league. At small forward they have a tall and lean Al Thorton who improved upon his promising rookie season and looks to step forward even further this year, and their only whole is at shooting guard, where last year’s rookie sensation Eric Gordon played some minutes and put up some good stats. He is a little small to defend other shooting guards though and if all goes well will be spending more time spotting Baron Davis than he will starting at shooting guard. Last year they were undersized at shooting guard, this year they have a couple of longer bodies to put there, and hopefully Ricky Davis will be playing some quality ball this year. These guys played through a rough patch last season, getting to know each other after a busy offseason and playing through injury, but I think this year, with all of training camp and a year’s worth of experience to boot, this squad is ready to hit the playoffs. Had they kept Richardson after acquiring him they’d have a great guard rotation, but as it stands they should be able to compete at least and make this division a little more entertaining than last year.

3. Golden State Warriors

I don’t expect anybody past second in this division is going to make the playoffs, so the Warrior fans don’t have much to look forward to. Two seasons ago Don Nelson benched a very talented forward in Al Harrington who proved last season with the Knicks that he is not only a starter, but an all-star calibre player. Last season Jamal Crawford had the same problem; Nelson claimed the backcourt was back logged with players and that Crawford, as talented as he might be, wouldn’t be getting any minutes. So what does Nelson do come draft day? Pick another shooting guard! So yeah, their backcourt has got some talent and some scorers on the wing, Cory Maggette, Stephen Jackson (who is asking for a trade) and Monta Ellis, but no pure ball handler like they had with Baron Davis. And now promising young bench players like Anthony Marrow and C.J. Watson will have to fight for minutes with rookie Stephen Curry. In the front court the Warriors are in much the same situation as the Kings, they have some talented young rebounders in Anthony Randolph and Brandon Wright, and they even have and established center who can rebound and score a little in Andris Biedins, but this team is not as good without a player like Baron Davis at the helm. Jackson can handle the ball (not that he will be in Golden State for sure this season), but he was more of a benefit for spells when Monta Ellis was coming on the floor as Ellis was a shooting guard in a point guard’s body and cannot distribute like Baron Davis did and we all know what happens to teams with scoring-first point guards who don’t distribute well; they swap out for guys like Jason Kidd or Steve Nash and improve ten-fold. And with the flawed and aging general Don Nelson giving orders I don’t expect this team to do much better than they did last year.

4. Sacramento Kings

Is it really so good to be king? The front office has had to deal with many personal issues over the last few years, and while trading Salmons and then releasing Drew Gooden didn’t seem like a good move to me, at the same time it doesn’t make sense to pay big for a team that isn’t winning. This Kings squad is clearly based on the shoulders of young players, several of whom are playing under rookie contracts and while none of them is ready to compete at the elite level, many show promise. The Clippers will clearly be better, the Warriors won’t be any worse than last year, but the Suns have gotten bad enough that the Kings may surpass them at least. Spencer Hawes and Jason Thompson may not have names you know, but both of these guys can rebound and score in the post, and Kevin Martin has proved to be a reliable shooting guard in the NBA while point guard Beno Udrih likes to pass that ball even if he isn’t an elite point guard, and Francisco Garia and Andres Nocioni are capable small forwards. With these promising young players having already established themselves and the guys who will be getting lots of minutes, the Kings have added some even younger blood as they have drafted rookies at power forward, small forward and shooting guard, so they will get a chance to play around with the rotation and see if they have any diamonds in the rough. They also picked up Sean May, and young talent who has as much trouble with his weight as he does potential, so perhaps a change of scenery will help him up his game (though I don’t expect it). Will the Kings improve enough to move up from last in the division? it’s a close call, but it is clear the Suns are on the way down, and though their fall may not be a steep as I predict, the Kings can really only get better since they had one of the worst records in the league last season.

5. Phoenix Suns

I’m not sure how management has been selling their moves to the fans, and I’m not sure why they would make so many cost cutting moves over the last four or five seasons (letting Joe Johnson go, trading Quinton Richardson, trading Kurt Thomas, trading Shawn Marion, trading Shaq- though that one made a little more sense- and dumping Dino Raja and Boris Diaw), and then make such a huge effort to sign Grant Hill and Steven Nash to extensions when neither is going to be seeing their A-game in the next couple of seasons. Both will contribute, but neither will be dominant at their positions. Jason Richardson will provide some scoring and help keep these guys in games, or at least make the losses more entertaining for fans, but Amare Stoudemire knows what is going on and wants out! And it is this, like the Boozer situation in Utah, which will weigh heavily on the team’s production this season and cause a major distraction, just as Shawn Marion and Shaq being on the trading block in past years has served to be a distraction for an otherwise very talented team. And coaching is a question mark to as the Suns have not been able to find a coach that clicked with this squad the way Mike D. did, though the squad the Suns have now is very different from that squad. Giving extensions to aging stars and alienating young ones or moving them to other teams for next to nothing is no how you get better in this league, and I can only see the Suns getting worse this year, which is too bad because had the front office been willing to spend money on their roster, the Suns could have been the most dominant team in the league right now.

Southwest

1. San Antonio Spurs

I’m not so sure that the Spurs are looking to the future, but they are definitely built to win this year. The trade that brought Richard Jefferson to the team was huge and gives the Spurs a very versatile offence, a three point shooter and some additional help on the boards and Jefferson is no slouch on the glass. But the real help on the boards will be coming from Antonio McDyess (and a little from Theo Ratliff). McDyess is a veteran who won’t be able to put up 30+ minutes a game, but he can give you something in the twenty minute range with great effectiveness. He’s got a great midrange jumper, he busts his ass off on the boards, he doesn’t commit stupid fouls or turnovers, he only takes the ball on offence when his team needs him to and he is effective when he does so. Not to mention he is a defensive stopper and starving for a ring. In the playoffs last year he was the only Piston that looked like he wanted to win! And the Celtics would have been better off chasing after McDyess instead of Wallace, but as it stands the Spurs got second pick and the best player out of the deal. And Ratliff, though not as effective as he once was, is still one of the best shot blockers in the league and works the boards to, so the Spurs will have a back-up center they can depend on. However, they will not have a starting center unless they are comfortable moving either Duncan or McDyess to that position. If only they still had Kurt Thomas! The thought of Matt Bonner starting at center in the west, especially in the playoffs, is scary! But in his defence he is not as bad as his red hair would have you believe. If Ratliff, Duncan and McDyess all take some minutes at center, it won’t be so bad, and besides, where the Spurs real danger lies is their depth in the back court. Roger Mason, who was learning to handle the ball last season, provides long range shooting and helps spread the floor and can back up Manu Ginobili who himself is a premier shooting guard in the league that can do a little bit of ball handling himself, while hitting threes and playing tough defence, and Michael Finely can back up Richard Jefferson, giving the Spurs two all-stars at that position. Of course Tony Parker will run circles around any point guard in a Lakers uniform should they meet in the playoffs while Duncan remains the best power forward in the league as far as I can see (with Garnett running a close second). When the playoffs role around the Spurs should be able to handle most teams, Dallas has the depth and experience to beat them but are equally weak at center so I think the Spurs could handle them, and the Lakers are the only other legit threat I see for the Spurs, who win the point guard position, have more depth at small forward, and have the better power forward. So if Bonner and Ratliff can weather Bynum the Spurs could be playing the Celtics in the finals! Its all a guessing game now, but the Spurs have the fire power this season to make a run for the finals. If only Splitter could come over from Europe! Then they’d have the starting center they’ve needed since Robinson left!

2. Dallas Mavericks

Shawn Marion was a bigger addition than most might imagine. He is a 20/10 forward who is versatile on defence and can guard three positions, and he doesn’t need to have plays run for him all the time, so he could play of Dirk as he played off Amare. Jason Terry and Josh Howard are the other two big pluses for this team after Dirk and Marion, but the two questions that should be on the mind of all Mavs fan are these: Is Jason Kidd too old? and Will opposing centers destroy us in the paint? My answers to those questions are yes and yes, and that will come to be this team’s down fall. The Devin Harris trade for Kidd was a mistake, plain and simple. Not even last season could it be argued that Kidd was better than Harris. Harris’s numbers were always diluted because he was on a great team, but in New Jersey it became clear he is a real talent. Kidd’s assist and rebounding numbers dropped in the playoffs, even when (or perhaps because) his minutes went up to 40 a game, and it is clear, as hard a worker as Kidd is, he is not what he was two year ago. Don’t get me wrong, with 20-25 minutes a game (like Stockton was doing his last couple of years) Kidd could make huge contributions to a contender, but not with 40+ minutes a game. Coupled with that, the only center they have on the team is Eric Dampier! Drew Gooden was a steal for this squad, but Dirk is going to eat up 35+ minutes a game at power forward, and Gooden is a bit undersized for the center position and not agile enough for the small forward spot. Kidd has enough left in the tank and enough talent around him to make the regular season interesting, and perhaps even the first round of the playoffs, but we all know that even last year, had the Spurs been healthy they would have torn the Mavs apart. This year, the Mavs just don’t have enough muscle at center or depth at point guard to last in the post season.

3. New Orleans Hornets

I don’t want to count these guys out, they have a very talented roster, the best point guard in the league (Chris Paul), one of the best pure shooters (Peja Stojakovic), a great 20/10 power forward (David West) and a good shooting guard rotation that features Mo Pete and James Posey. At center this year they have given up a little on the glass and defence for a little on offence in Emeka Okafor, and though I am a fan of Okafor, his only problem in Charlotte was that he was playing center instead of power forward, which is exactly what he will be doing on New Orleans, but at least he’ll finally have a frontcourt teammate that can grab 10+ boards a game. Other than that the Hornets have much the same problem the did last year: no depth in the front court. West and Okafor will have to play upwards to 40 minutes a game to keep them competitive and so will Paul, which isn’t good come playoff time because the guys you need most in the playoffs should ideally be pacing themselves in the regular season and helping role players to develop into reliable help for the playoffs. Detroit and Phoenix fans will both tell you how much heavy minutes on your starting line-up will impact your playoff performances. That said, these guys still have enough talent to push through the regular season and earn a playoff spot, but had they been smart enough to keep the Bird man around they may have found that they had more to be excited about this season. Instead they will likely end up as first-round fodder again.

4. Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies have no shot at making the playoffs this year, even if they sign A.I., and perhaps even less of a chance if they sign A.I. Zach Randolph is a great pick up, and an underrated 20/10 forward, who though he isn’t much of a passer, can make smooth moves to the basket when the ball is dumped into him and he works the glass. He should make a good partner in the front court with Mark Gasol and Hasheem Thabeet should be a great rebounding and defensive presence in the post, even as a rookie. I’m not sure how the rotation will work, but Gasol coming off the bench to get starting minutes by backing up both Randolph and Thabeet seems like the best scenario to me, and Darrell Arthur, a promising rookie from last season, could eat some minutes up in the front court to (he’s a solid rebounder, but his field goal percentage could use some work). With Rudy Gay and O.J. Mayo playing on the wing positions, and Mike Conley helming the point, the Grizzlies have some athletic talent rounding out the starting line-up, though they have little depth at those positions and Mayo gives up a little bit of height to some of the taller shooting guards, but he should be able to hold his own at 6’4. Still, they have more tools to win than the Rockets and if the Hornets didn’t have the best point guard in the league, I might be liable to put the Grizzlies ahead of the Hornets as well.

5. Houston Rockets

With Yao out for the season, Artest gone, McGrady limping back from an injury, and Mutumbo retired, I can’t see the Rockets doing much this season at all. Shane Battier, Brent Barry (who isn’t getting any better with age and likely just went to Houston to retire in the same jersey as his brother and father), and Trevor Ariza are all great role players, but they have no superstars to play into. The Rockets are headed for the lottery and if they were smart they’d just start rebuilding now and try to get some young talent and draft picks for the players they have now (Battier, Ariza and McGrady would all serve to be decent bargaining chips). It will be painful to watch the Rockets this upcoming season.