Posts Tagged ‘Trailblazers’

NBA Ramblings: Top Ten Shooting Guards Of The 2010 Season

Wednesday, October 14th, 2009

Top Ten Shooting Guards

Honourable Mention (In No Particular Order)

Kevin Martin

Big fish in a little pond? Likely, but he’s still a solid shooter and consistent scorer, even if his all around game pales next to the likes of Brandon Roy and Joe Johnson. And guards who get more turnovers than assists should not be in the top ten, even if they are great shooters (and by great shooter, I mean great three-point shooter, he’s only 45% from the floor on his career, respectable, but not note worthy).

Vince Carter/Tracey McGrady

Both of these guys have been slowed by injury, and trade demands, but both remain talented and are athletes that have the skills to break off phenomenal seasons. The Rockets will be depending on McGrady when he comes back from injury, while the Magic will be hoping that Carter plays like his former all-star self to make them a true contender.

Monta Ellis

To small to play shooting guard (gives up too much on defence), but he does work hard on the boards (over 4 a game), though his assists (3.8 a game) are diluted by his turnovers (2.7 a game). At his height, offensive plans are limited for his team, and without true ball-handling skills, he limits himself even further.

Randy Foye

Foye is a great combo guard, can pass the rock, score, hit his free-throws, but he needs to increase his field-goal percentages if he hopes to get minutes in Washington.

J.R. Smith

If he finally gets himself a starting job, Smith could make me look like a fool for putting Gordon on the list above him. He’s a solid rebound, passer and scorer and can shot the three.

10. Ben Gordon

The Pistons have the best shooting guard rotation in the league with Hamilton and Gordon. Gordon does give up some height, but he’s a great three-point shooter, he’s over 80% from the free-throw line and a respectable 45% from the floor. And for a short guy his 3+ rebounds aren’t so bad. He also gets 3+ assists a game, but his turnovers are a bit high and he isn’t so great running the plays with the ball in his hand (unless he’s looking for his own shot), which is bad considering at his height he should be playing point guard. Even if he’s coming off the bench though, Gordon will put up numbers that will keep him on pace with some of the best shooting guards in the league.

9. Michael Redd

Like a couple other elite players, Redd’s season was slowed by injury last year, but the season prior saw Redd have some big games and finish among the league leaders in triple-doubles (even though his assist and rebounding numbers were a little meeker than some of the other triple-double leaders that season). Redd is one of the more complete shooting guards in the league, he can shoot, create off the dribble, drive, defend, pass and rebound. The only knock on Redd is the fact that though he is a consistent scorer, he is inconsistent in other aspects of his games. One night he will get a triple-double, the next will see him get only a couple rebounds or a meagre assist or two, and though he saves his big games for his big match-ups (he’s gotten a couple of triple-doubles against LeBron), I’m sure Bucks fans would like to see those stellar all-around efforts on a more nightly basis.

8. Richard Hamilton

Hamilton reminds me very much of Reggie Miller in that he’s excellent at coming off screens, and though he isn’t good at creating offence with the ball in his hand all the time, he does fairly well on his own. He works the boards well for a guy who is so lean (a respectable 3+ a game), and hands out 4+ assists a game while usually keeping it under 2 turnovers a game. His defence is solid, and he has, like Ray Allen, a strong sense of team play (though he and Allen Iverson seemed to have trouble with deciding who should be starting at shooting guard). Coupled with that, Hamilton offers consistency more than perhaps any other shooting guard in the league. While Kobe and Wade have high scoring nights, followed by more humble numbers, and Allen has been known to hit cold streaks (most notably at the beginning of the ‘08 playoffs), Hamilton is the picture of consistency, dropping in between 16-20 seemingly every night. He may be fighting for minutes with Ben Gordon this season, but Hamilton will still be the best option the Pistons have at shooting guard, and with Billups, Iverson, McDysse and Wallace all gone, he will likely be their first scoring option.

7. Manu Ginobili

Last season Ginobili was slowed by slowed by injuries, but coming into this season healthy, I expect him to put up solid numbers (though his numbers aren’t always a good indication of the total impact Ginolbili has on the game). Hamilton and Carter and a couple others may put up better numbers than Ginobili because he has to share scoring duties with; Duncan, Parker, Jefferson, Finley and Mason, but Ginobili’s impact will still be of the utmost importance for the Spurs, his defence, work on the glass and passing are all important for the Spurs, as is his ability to hit the long range jumper and create space for himself and teammates off the dribble.

6. Andre Iguodala

Iguodala isn’t as great a shooter as some of the other guys on this list (his free-throw and three-point percentages are decent, but not outstanding), but he does create well off the dribble, is a great one-on-one player in isolation plays, knows how to kick the ball out when he’s double teamed or covered (to the tune of over 5 assists a game), and his percentage from the floor is 47%, which is much higher than some perimeter players and certainly puts him near the top at his position. With a good mid-range jumper, and the work ethic to crash the boards (over 5 boards a game), Iguodala is a consistent, solid, all-around player that any GM would love to add to their roster.

5. Ray Allen

Ray Allen may deserve to be as high as third on this list, but he is certainly a top-five shooting guard, even as he enters the twilight of his career. Last season saw Allen hit 95% from the charity stripe, over 40% from behind the arc and almost 50% from the floor, illustrating why Allen is the best pure shooter in the league. He moves well without the ball, knows how to use a screen and get open, and spreads opposing defences out, which is a huge help to his teammates. His rebounding and assists are a little lower than some on this list, but since he doesn’t handle the ball as much as others on the list, so it is understandable that he doesn’t get as many assists (he has to draw defences away from the ball to open the floor up for Rondo and Pierce), and though his defence isn’t as effective as Bryant’s, he still works hard on defence. Allen knows the role he needs to play for his team to do well and he does what is needed. The Celtics already have two ball handlers in Peirce and Rondo, and he knows plays are run for Garnett in the post to draw defences away from the perimeter, so he only usually gets the ball when defences break down, so his all-around stats suffer a little, but his team benefits greatly from this sacrifice and if you doubt Allen’s over all impact, just ask Bryant how effective Allen is, he saw Allen put up his best numbers of he ‘08 post season under Bryant’s stifling defence.

4. Joe Johnson

Joe Johnson has the typical stats of an all-star shooting guard, 20+ points a game, and around 5+ boards and 5+ assists a game, and while his shooting percentage is a humble 43% (a little less than Roy and Wade), he has a diverse offensive game that allows him to create shots off the dribble, off the screen, and on the drive, and he looks to his teammates to get the win. Like Roy, and all great shooting guards, Johnson (though capable of scoring 25+ a game), knows that deferring to teammates is key to winning, which is why the Hawks were able to move past the Heat last season in the playoffs. This year the Hawks will have even more talent to work with (Crawford and Joe Smith have joined the team), which will make the Hawks even better and give Johnson even more exposure, and considering it is a contract year for Johnson, I expect him to make a case for a max contract.

3. Brandon Roy

Roy may have been the best clutch shooter last season. Every time I watched a sports highlights Roy was making last second shots, forcing overtimes and getting wins, and though some were circus shots, most were buckets drilled by and premiere marksman who elevates his game when the pressure is on. And though Roy is a young guy, trying to earn his chops and still building his rep, and though he is the go-to guy on Portland, he still seems to know when to defer, which is a quality rarely seen in a player so young. Roy gets 5+ assists a game and a 2.5-1 assists-to-steals ratio, which Wade still hasn’t been able to accomplish. He shot 48% from the field, and 37% from behind the arc and was over 80% from the charity stripe. His defence is solid and he even grabs almost 5 boards a game to. It may seem, at the start of this season, that Wade and Bryant are clearly a level above Roy, just as James and Pierce are a level above all other small forwards, but I think by the end of the season it will be clear that Roy very much deserves to be mentioned in the same breath as Wade and Bryant and may even make as case to be better than Wade.

2. Dwayne Wade

Wade was last season’s scoring champ, a top candidate for MVP, and improved his game on almost every level. He had his lowest turnovers-per-minute average of his career, his highest points-per-minute average, his highest assist average (which most players who are scoring 30+ a game rarely do), pulled in 5 boards a game and played solid defence while shooting nearly 50% from the floor (much better than Kobe). He even got more steals and more blocks per game than Kobe, and if this list was decided by stats alone, Wade would actually finish above Kobe. But Wade was kind of a big fish in a small pond, played on a poor team that got destroyed in the first round and Wade’s defence, though solid, is not as outstanding as Bryant’s defence. The Heat should be a little better this season, but until Wade gets to participate in a deep playoff run, he will be second to Kobe among shooting guards.

1. Kobe Bryant

His defence, his offence, his intensity, his will to win, his all-around game. Just as there it little doubt as to who the best small forward in the game is, there is also little doubt as to who the best shooting guard is. He grabs 5 boards a game, hands out 5 assists, scores 25+ points, is as good as any defender at his position, and is likely not only the best shooting guard this year, but also of his generation. That said, Kobe is not perfect. His field-goal percentage is not as good as some and the alpha male in him still has a hard time deferring to teammates. When Jordan played for the Bulls, they needed Jordan to score 30+ a game to stay in the game. With the Lakers, who have weapons like the newly added Ron Artest, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum and other decent scorers (like last season’s top role player Trevor Ariza), the Lakers have a well balances offence (not unlike the Celtics who rely on Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett to all score around 20 a game while letting Rondo Raja handle the ball), and therefore the Lakers do not need Kobe to score 25+ a game. In fact, if Kobe deferred to teammates that way Paul Pierce has the last couple of seasons, and the way Duncan and Nash have throughout their careers, the Lakers would be even better, but Kobe’s ego still seems to demand that he get 25+ a game, even though there are three or four 20+ point scorers on the team. Don’t get me wrong, he’s still the best in the league, and Jordan had just as much of an ego. It gives him an edge and can help his team, but history suggests that players who can defer (like Magic, Russell, and Duncan) win more rings than the guys who have to score 25+ a game (Chamberlain, Bird and Kobe). Jordon of course is the exception. If Kobe wants to string together a second dynasty, he will have to make sure that opponents have as much cause to worry about the other offensive players on the Lakers as they do Kobe.

NBA Ramblings: Calling All Point Guards!

Friday, July 24th, 2009

In this year’s draft teams seem to have gone point guard crazy. Even teams that have a solid point guard rotation picked up point guards in the draft. The Bucks had a solid point guard rotation this season and still drafted Brandon Jennings, the Jazz have one of the best point guards in the league (and a decent back up) and still drafted Eric Maynor, the Hornets have arguably the best point guard in the league and still drafted Darren Collison, and the T-Wolves drafted THREE point guards! Despite all floor generals picked up in this year’s draft, there are still some teams in dire need of a point guard. The Trailblazers have a couple of guys who have shown potential but no finite leader to play along side of Brandon Roy, the 76ers, who in my opinion are very close to being legit contenders for a titles, may find themselves two steps behind where they were last season if Andre Miller chooses to leave the team (as it seems very likely will happen), the Pistons have one of the best back-up point guards in the league in Will Bynum, but the starter, Rodney Stuckey, has an unimpressive field-goal percentage and an even less impressive assist-to-turnover ratio, and the Celtics would like to have a solid back-up to give Rondo Raja a break every now and then, and also have an insurance policy should anything happen to him in the course of the season. There are slim pickings in the free agent market at the point guard position, but there is good news as the only teams with cap space aren’t looking for a point guard (with the exception of Portland), so teams with the mid-level exception may be able to get bargain rates on a great point guard, while more creative GM’s might be able to broker a trade for some young talented point guards who have been stuck on the bench. So lets take a look at some point guards who may be able to help some teams at a low cost.

Nate Robinson (Knicks)

Lately Robinson has been looking to Europe to get a sizable offer, and since Earl Boykins did this last year, and earned himself a few more million than NBA teams were willing to offer (tax free and in Euros), Robinson may go that route. Some players though want to play on the big stage, and a dunk champ like Robison could make up for a small NBA pay check via endorsements, which may not be as lucrative in Europe (though I’m sure there are European companies who might offer American basketball players endorsement deals). So for Robinson the choice is between playing on the big stage, or getting a big pay check. If he wants the pay check NBA teams are out of luck. If he wants to play on the big stage he may be a good fit in Boston, who still has the bi-annual exception to offer him (2+ million dollars). He’d get to back up Rondo and get some minutes, and neither his size, nor the fact that he really plays more like a shooting guard than a point guard would hurt Boston since that is very much the role Eddie House played. Paul Pierce is a great ball handler and can set up the plays while Robinson is on the court, and Robinson’s speed and agility should help to spark Boston’s offence when Rondo is on the bench. Coupled with that, Robinson just seems like a great guy who wants to win and exudes a positive demeanour, and this is the type of player you want representing you off the court, and helping raise spirits in the locker room. He’d be a great addition to a championship contender, and Boston seems like it would be the perfect fit. The only draw backs are that Robinson can’t fill in at the point guard spot should Rondo get injured, and doesn’t have the range that Eddie House has. I don’t think there are a lot of other teams with whom Robinson would fit well, but if he doesn’t go to Europe, a one year contract with Boston should get him some exposure and raise the league’s interest in him as a solid role player on a legit contender.

Andre Miller (76ers)

Miller is the best point guard on the market right now and would be a great fit in either Philly or Portland. He is a veteran who has proven he can handle the responsibility, and is a big reason why Philly has been so successful the last couple of seasons. He was mature when Philly was losing and didn’t act like a prima Donna, and played at a high level when they started performing well and showed he could be depended on in pressure situations. His only draw back is that he’s on the wrong side of 30. That said, he’s only 33 (J. Kidd and Steve Nash are both on the wrong side of 35 and still commanding big contracts), and he is only asking for a respectable three or four year deal. I’m not saying that Miller is as good as Nash or Kidd, but come next season, he may very likely be playing better than either. His game is not in decline mode, he still plays as well as he did when he was 29, and he will be playing at that level for at least 2 more seasons. Sure, come the third or fourth season of a 3 or 4 year contract, his role may be reduced, but the bottom line is he’s not asking for all-star salary, just one that offers a little security. Miller stepped up his game in the playoffs, this year, put up better numbers than Kidd did, (20+ points, 6+ rebounds and 5+ assists), he shoots close the 50% from the floor and around 80% from the line (though he’s not great from behind the arc) and gets at least 2 assists for every turnover. Bottom line is that he’s a great player. He’s looking for a three year deal, and he will be playing at his current level certainly for the first two season of the deal, and would be a great mentor to any young point guard. Philly should do what it takes to keep him because he is a great fit there, but if they are too stingy then Portland should use their cash to pick him up. Portland is a young team and their window for contending will certainly be longer than the rest of Miller’s career, but he will put them a step ahead of where they were last season and give them a couple seasons helming the team, during which they can find an apprentice. Not too many other teams are in the running in terms of available cash, but Miller would be a great fit for any team in contention. European teams may also have an interest as well, and Miller’s playing legs would certainly last longer in Europe.

Travis Diener (Pacers)

The NBA’s free agent tracker says that Diener is a free agent, the Pacer’s home page does not, so I’m not sure what the situation is contractually with this guy (he may or may not have exercised his player option for this upcoming season), but the fact of the matter is that the Pacers are looking to cut salary (they’ve already let Marquis Daniels and Jarred Jack go and finally bought out Jamal Tinsley), and Diener doesn’t get a lot of minutes and is prime to get an opportunity. He’s 27, ready to start playing in his prime, but is locked on a team that has a starting point guard (T.J. Ford) who is earning big money and won’t be benched anytime soon. Diener is an attractive point guard for two reasons, he is a pass-first point guard with a great assist-to-turnover ration (2.2 assists last season and only 0.3 turnover for an insane ration of 7-1!) and shoots 39% from behind the arc, and his stats indicate that with starting minutes he’d likely get a couple steals a game. While his 1.6 rebounds a game seem meek, he only gets about 13 minutes a game and plays point guard, so that number actually shows great potential. This guy needs to start next season to see what he can really do. It would be a gamble for any team to start him because he’s never been the go-to guy at the point, but he’s shown that he has got the fundamentals down. I’m not sure how strong he is on defence, and that may or may not be a draw back, but its clear he can handle the ball very well and shoot from long range (though his mid-range shooting is nothing to write home about). And the best part is, as I have mentioned, he is a pass first point guard. Teams like Portland, Detroit, and Philly, who all have big scorers, would be a great fit for this guy, because he essentially only shoots when he’s open, and he gets the ball to the scorer without turning it over, and what more can you ask for from a point guard. If Philly is in need of a point guard come training camp, they should call up Indiana and see what it will take to pry this young talent away.

Ramon Sessions

In his rookie year Sessions put up 7.5 assists a game and only 2.1 turnovers, an impressive ration. His sophomore season saw his assists go down and scoring go up, along with his field-goal percentage, and he’s a consistent rebounder. Sessions may be the second best option at point guard in the free agent market, but like the other top point guards available this season, he’s a solid midrange shooter, but he doesn’t have much range behind the arc. If the 76ers lose out on Miller, they may want to make a run at Sessions.

Raymond Felton

His long range shooting isn’t so hot, and his midrange shooting isn’t much better, but he can drive the lane, handle big minutes, and distribute almost 7 assists a game with only a little over 2 turnovers a game. Like Sessions he is also young, which give him a leg up on a couple of the older point guards on the market, but he’s also a restricted free agent and Charlotte can match all offers.

Jammal Tinsely

Tinsley is veteran pass-first point guard with a respectful assist-to-turnover ratio and is dying to prove himself after a year in purgatory. I’m still not sure why the Pacers wouldn’t buy out his contract last season, but it the buyout is done and he’s ready to play. The big drawback for any team looking at Tinsely is his shooting (which is awful), but hopefully that is something he has worked on over the last season. With that shooting though Tinsley could be a major liability in the playoffs, but is an team loaded with offensive weapons and in need of a distributor could use Tinsley and even if he’s only a backup he can still offer a lot of help.

Jason Williams

A year after an oddly timed retirement announced only weeks after signing a lucrative deal with the Clippers, Williams is coming back out of retirement. Early in his career Williams was famous to two things: flashy passes, and turnovers. I always thought people were a little hard on him, but he has improved his ration over his career. What hasn’t improved much is his shooting, but he knows that himself and doesn’t push the matter during games by taking shots he should be taking. During their title run the Celtics saw several teams exploit Rondo’s inability to shoot the midrange jumper, the next season Rondo worked on that part of his game and is now putting up respectable numbers. Players like Williams and Tinsley though had exhibited poor shooting throughout their careers and that aspect of the game can really hurt a team come playoff time. Coming off the bench these types of players can help, but in a starting role it would be hard to win. The Celtics did it, but they also had Paul Pierce on the floor and he could handle the ball, while Rondo, though a poor shooter last season, could still cut to the whole as well as anybody in the league (and like Sessions, he has shown improvement in his midrange jumper).

Allen Iverson

There isn’t a team in the league that needs Iverson to score 30 points a game to turn them into a contender, and that seems to be essentially what Iverson wants. He wasn’t able to win in Denver (though they were able to win without him), and he made an issue about coming off the bench for Detroit, so there doesn’t seem to be many options for Iverson outside of retirement or Europe. If Iverson displayed the humility to come off the bench then a team like Boston could use him and be unstoppable with such a potent offensive weapon coming off the bench, but lets face it, Iverson is a shooting guard in a point guard’s body, which means he’s to small to defend other shooting guards. Iverson is at the point of his career that Dominique Wilkins was at when he skipped over the Europe. He wasn’t able to dominate like he had, and neither can Iverson, and no team sees him as a franchise player that they could put a team around. Had Iverson shown some maturity in Detroit, he’d be more appealing to other teams, but his acting out and baby tactics make him unappealing despite his talent level. His inability to defend, his age, and his maturity are all big question marks that make Iverson a big gamble that could cause a team to meltdown in the locker room, but being as talented as he is, he could be a big payoff. Sadly, I think his career is over and retirement or Europe are the only real options for Iverson.

Stephon Marbury

Much has been said about Tracey McGrady’s inability to get into the second round, but Marbury has had a similar issue. Only as a backup with Boston was Marbury able to make the second round and quite often his teams have missed the playoffs altogether. In the playoffs Marbury has yet to average double figures in scoring. New Jersey and Phoenix both saw dramatic improvements after moving Marbury, New Jersey replaced him with Jason Kidd and won back-to-back conference championships after missing the playoffs, while the Suns became perennial contenders with Nash after Marbury guided them to the lottery. That says a lot about what Marbury brings to a team. His personal stats have often been impressive, but his teams have seldom won. So it seems that Marbury doesn’t have much to offer teams and is in much the same situation as Iverson. Marbury has been open to offers from Europe and since he’s got a couple solid years left in him it seems logical that he might go somewhere where he could be employed. He’s a great scorer (though not a great shooter) and loves to play the game. But there just aren’t any teams that a player like that to make them better right now. Europe seems like the best place for Marbury, and he already has mentioned the idea of promoting his shoes over there.